

Home Win
Charlton 2 - 0 Stevenage
Who will win?
1

Charlton
x
Draw
2

Stevenage
Charlton Athletic welcome Stevenage to The Valley on Tuesday, August 12, 2025, for an England League Cup tie kicking off at 19:45 GMT. Football Park’s predictive model makes the Addicks strong favourites, with a 69% win probability compared to Stevenage’s 13.3%.
Recent history supports this outlook — Charlton have kept three consecutive clean sheets against Stevenage, including a 2-0 victory in February. The data points towards a controlled home performance with limited scoring from the visitors, with the correct score model leaning towards another 2-0 result.
Below, we provide a detailed breakdown of the Charlton vs Stevenage predictions, historical meetings, and our top two model-backed betting selections.
Key Betting Tip: Charlton to Win @ 1.85 – Highest-rated outcome in our model, built on defensive solidity and superior attacking quality.
## Charlton vs Stevenage Timeline & Context
The Addicks have dominated this fixture in recent years, taking two wins and a draw from the last three meetings without conceding a goal. The algorithm’s Expected Goals projection suggests Charlton should comfortably restrict Stevenage to under one goal, with the visitors carrying just a 40% chance of scoring.
Charlton’s home form and 55.7% chance of being level at half-time before pulling ahead underlines their capability to control the match flow.
## Charlton vs Stevenage Predictions
Football Park’s model projections:
Home Win Probability: 69.00%
Draw Probability: 17.70%
Away Win Probability: 13.30%
Correct Score Prediction: Charlton 2-0 Stevenage
Over 2.5 Match Goals Probability: 25.00%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 40.00%
Here are the top two percentage-backed selections from our model:
1. Charlton to Win @ 1.85 Why? Model’s strongest-rated outcome with a 69% probability and three clean sheets in their last three meetings.
Confidence Level: High
Risk Level: Low
2. Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.80 Why? Match goal probability sits at just 1.80 total expected goals, with only a 25% likelihood of three or more being scored.
Confidence Level: Medium
Risk Level: Medium
## Charlton vs Stevenage Match Facts
Venue: The Valley, London, England
Kick-off: 19:45 GMT, August 12, 2025
Competition: England League Cup
Referee: To be confirmed
## Broadcast Details:
UK: Sky Sports Red Button & Sky Go
International: Check local listings for coverage
## Final Word: What to Expect
Football Park’s data points towards a professional and efficient Charlton display. With home advantage and a superior tactical setup, the Addicks should progress without major alarms, while keeping things tight at the back.
## Top Selections:
Charlton to Win @ 1.85
Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.80
## Football Park Predictions
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.
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