Home Win
Stoke City 2 - 1 Walsall
Who will win?
1
Stoke City
x
Draw
2
Walsall
Stoke City host Walsall at the bet365 Stadium on Tuesday, August 12, 2025, in the England League Cup, with kick-off at 19:45 GMT. Football Park’s predictive model strongly backs the home side, giving Stoke a 60% win probability compared to Walsall’s 33.3%. The game is forecast to produce around 2.7 total goals, with a 45% chance of Over 2.5 Goals.
Stoke’s higher quality and home advantage are expected to be decisive, but Walsall’s recent scoring form means they could pose problems, particularly in transition. Our analysis points towards a competitive tie with Stoke having the edge.
Below, we break down the Stoke City vs Walsall predictions, key data insights, and our top two percentage-backed betting selections.
Key Betting Tip: Stoke City to Win @ 1.70 – Backed by the model’s highest-rated win probability and home-field dominance.
## Stoke City vs Walsall Timeline & Context
The last meeting between the sides dates back to August 2013, when Stoke claimed a 3-1 home win in the League Cup. Football Park’s model points to a repeat outcome, with the Potters’ offensive projections at 1.50 goals compared to Walsall’s 1.30.
Walsall have the tools to get on the scoresheet, but the numbers suggest they’ll be chasing the game more often than leading it. Stoke’s 53.3% probability of being ahead at half-time underlines their expected fast start.
Football Park’s model projections:
Home Win Probability: 60.00%
Draw Probability: 6.70%
Away Win Probability: 33.30%
Correct Score Prediction: Stoke City 2-1 Walsall
Over 2.5 Match Goals Probability: 45.00%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 50.00%
## Best Stoke City vs Walsall Betting Tips
From our top-rated percentage selections, here are the standout bets:
1. Stoke City to Win @ 1.70 Why? Highest win probability in our model, coupled with strong home advantage and superior squad depth.
Model Confidence: High
Risk Level: Low-Medium
2. Over 1.5 First Half Goals @ 2.62 Why? The model predicts 1.20 first-half goals on average, with a 47% probability of two or more before the break. Both teams are capable of fast starts.
Model Confidence: Medium
Risk Level: Medium
## Stoke City vs Walsall Match Facts
Venue: bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, England
Kick-off: 19:45 GMT, August 12, 2025
Competition: England League Cup
Referee: To be confirmed
UK: Sky Sports Football & Sky Go
International: Check local listings for regional broadcast rights
Football Park’s data suggests a competitive cup tie with Stoke City in control for large spells. Walsall may create moments of danger, but the Potters’ superior quality and home record make them strong favourites to progress.
Top Selections:
Stoke City to Win @ 1.70
Over 1.5 First Half Goals @ 2.62
For more EFL Cup betting insights, visit our Football Park Predictions hub.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.
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