BTTS Yes
Derry City 1 - 1 Sligo Rovers
Who will win?
1
Derry City
x
Draw
2
Sligo Rovers
Derry City welcome Sligo Rovers to the Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium on Friday, 3 October 2025 (19:45 GMT) in the Ireland Premier Division. Despite the bookmakers pricing Derry heavy favourites at 1.48, the Football Park model projects a very different outlook – with a 60% chance of a draw and a strong case for Sligo to frustrate the hosts. A 1-1 scoreline is the most likely outcome, making Sligo’s Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 2.62 a value play.
Date: 3 October 2025
Kick-Off: 19:45 GMT
Competition: Ireland Premier Division
Venue: Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry – a 7,700-capacity stadium known for its tight atmosphere.
Referee: TBC
Ireland/UK: LOITV streaming
International: Bet365 Live Streaming (selected regions)
Home Win Probability: 20.0%
Away Win Probability: 20.0%
Draw Probability: 60.0%
Correct Score Prediction: 1-1
Both Teams to Score Probability: 70.0%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40.0%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Draw
Sligo Rovers Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 2.62 – Excellent value given Derry’s struggles to turn dominance into wins against Sligo.
Both Teams to Score @ 2.00 – With a 70% BTTS probability and consistent recent H2Hs, this looks like strong value.
Expected Match Goals: 2.60
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 90%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 80%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 20%
First Half Goals Projection: 0.93 (73% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Sligo Rovers Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 2.62
Best Bet 2: Both Teams to Score @ 2.00
Derry thrashed Sligo 3-0 in April, but four of the last six meetings here ended level. With both teams averaging over a goal per game in recent matchups, a 1-1 draw aligns with both the algorithm and the betting markets.
At Football Park, we provide predictions based on advanced statistical modelling, but remember – football is unpredictable. Always gamble responsibly and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
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