BTTS Yes
AFC Wimbledon 2 - 1 Lincoln
Who will win?
1
AFC Wimbledon
x
Draw
2
Lincoln
AFC Wimbledon host Lincoln at Plough Lane on Saturday, August 9, 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 15:00 GMT in England’s League One. This early-season meeting brings together two sides with contrasting recent records in this fixture, as Lincoln have taken three wins from the last four encounters.
Football Park’s predictive model rates the home side’s win probability at 41.7%, with Lincoln close behind at 36.7%, and the most likely scoreline emerging as 2-1 to AFC Wimbledon. The match is forecasted to see a moderate goal count, with a 58.8% chance of Over 1.5 goals and an 80% likelihood of at least one goal in the first half.
We’ve analysed the AFC Wimbledon vs Lincoln timeline, model predictions, and recent head-to-heads to deliver two standout betting tips backed by Football Park’s highest percentage ratings.
Key Betting Tip: Over 1.5 Match Goals @ 1.40 – Solid value given the 58.8% probability and historical head-to-head patterns.
The AFC Wimbledon vs Lincoln matches have been competitive in recent years, with Lincoln having the upper hand but most meetings producing at least two goals.
Recent results:
12 Mar 2022 – AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Lincoln
02 Jan 2021 – AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Lincoln
02 Nov 2019 – AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Lincoln
04 Nov 2017 – AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Lincoln
Three of these four matches have seen Over 1.5 goals, with both teams finding the net in half of them. While Lincoln’s record is strong, Football Park’s model points towards a more balanced contest this time.
The model’s projections for this fixture are as follows:
Home Win Probability: 41.70%
Draw Probability: 21.70%
Away Win Probability: 36.70%
Correct Score Prediction: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Lincoln
Both Teams to Score Probability: 41.70%
Over 1.5 Match Goals Probability: 58.80%
Over 0.5 First Half Goals Probability: 80.00%
These figures suggest a close contest with a slight home edge and a stronger likelihood of goals than recent head-to-heads might imply.
## Best AFC Wimbledon vs Lincoln Betting Tips
From Football Park’s highest percentage-rated selections, here are the two standout betting opportunities for this match:
1. Over 1.5 Match Goals @ 1.40 Why? The model’s 58.8% probability rating aligns with recent trends, with three of the last four meetings seeing at least two goals.
Model Confidence: High
Risk Level: Low
2. Over 0.5 First Half Goals @ 1.50 Why? An 80% probability rating makes this a strong option for those looking for early action in the match. With both teams projected to approach the game positively, an early breakthrough is likely.
Model Confidence: Strong
Risk Level: Low to Medium
Venue: Plough Lane, London
Kick-off: 15:00 GMT, August 9, 2025
Competition: England League One
Referee: To be confirmed
## Broadcast Details:
UK: Sky Sports (selected matches)
International: Check local listings
## Final Word: What to Expect
Football Park’s model points towards a tightly fought contest, with AFC Wimbledon marginally favoured and a fair chance of a 2-1 home win. The best value appears in the goals markets, particularly Over 1.5 Match Goals and Over 0.5 First Half Goals, both supported by high percentage ratings.
Over 1.5 Match Goals @ 1.40
Over 0.5 First Half Goals @ 1.50
For more League One insights, visit our Football Park EFL Predictions section.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.
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