Home Win
Cardiff 3 - 2 Plymouth
Who will win?
1
Cardiff
x
Draw
2
Plymouth
Get expert Cardiff vs Plymouth predictions, confirmed lineups, head-to-head stats and betting tips. Data-driven expert insights & analysis.
Cardiff host Plymouth at the Cardiff City Stadium on Saturday, 30 August 2025 (12:30 GMT) in England League One. Football Park’s predictive model makes Cardiff overwhelming favourites with a 63.3% win probability, while Plymouth have just a 13.3% chance of upsetting the odds. The algorithm points to a high-scoring game, with an average of 3.9 expected goals and a most-likely scoreline of 3-1 to Cardiff.
Cardiff’s recent record in this fixture is dominant, including a 5-0 win at home in October 2024, and with an attacking output projection of 2.6 goals, the hosts look set to control proceedings once again.
Date: 30 August 2025
Kick-Off: 12:30 GMT
Competition: England League One
Venue: Cardiff City Stadium – A 33,000-seater arena that has been Cardiff’s home since 2009. Known for its vibrant support and modern facilities, it provides the Bluebirds with one of the strongest home advantages in the division.
Referee: TBC
UK: Sky Sports Football / Live streaming via bet365
Europe: DAZN (selected regions)
International: Available via international rights holders and Cardiff City’s club streaming services
Home Win Probability: 63.3%
Away Win Probability: 13.3%
Draw Probability: 23.3%
Correct Score Prediction: 3-1
Both Teams to Score Probability: 61.7%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 90%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Home/Home
Cardiff to Win @ 1.50 – The hosts are backed strongly by the model and their excellent recent H2H record.
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.38 – With a 90% chance of three or more goals and both sides likely to score, this bet carries strong value.
19 Oct 2024: Cardiff 5-0 Plymouth
26 Dec 2023: Cardiff 2-2 Plymouth
Recent encounters have been high-scoring, with Cardiff dominant at home and Plymouth at least capable of finding the net.
Expected Match Goals: 3.90
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 100%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 100%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 90%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 50%
First Half Goals Projection: 1.53 (93% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Cardiff to Win @ 1.50
Best Bet 2: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.38
Cardiff’s dominant home record and attacking projections make them clear favourites. Expect Plymouth to contribute to the scoreline, but the hosts should have too much firepower.
Football Park predictions are generated from advanced algorithmic models. While probabilities highlight strong betting value, football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
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