Home Win
Wigan 1 - 1 Stockport County
Who will win?
1
Wigan
x
Draw
2
Stockport County
Wigan welcome Stockport County to the DW Stadium on Saturday, 30 August 2025 (15:00 GMT) in England League One. Football Park’s algorithm strongly favours the hosts, giving Wigan a 55.7% chance of victory, while Stockport hold just 17.7%. The model expects a cagey contest with only 2.2 projected match goals, pointing towards a 2-0 home win.
With Wigan’s solid home record and Stockport’s inconsistent away form, the data suggests backing the hosts to avoid defeat as the safest angle.
Date: 30 August 2025
Kick-Off: 15:00 GMT
Competition: England League One
Venue: DW Stadium, Wigan – A 25,000-capacity all-seater ground that has hosted Premier League and European fixtures in the past, offering Wigan a strong home base.
Referee: TBC
UK: Sky Sports (red button) / bet365 streaming
Europe: DAZN (selected regions)
International: EFL global broadcast partners
Home Win Probability: 55.7%
Away Win Probability: 17.7%
Draw Probability: 26.7%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-0
Both Teams to Score Probability: 50%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 25%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Home/Home
## Football Park’s Top 2 Best Bets
Wigan Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.53 – Backed by a dominant 82.4% likelihood of avoiding defeat.
Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.61 (est.) – With only 2.2 expected goals and just a 25% chance of 3+, the model leans towards a tight encounter.
26 Aug 2025: Wigan 1-0 Stockport County
15 Feb 2025: Wigan 0-2 Stockport County
06 Dec 2023: Wigan 2-0 Stockport County
Wigan have won two of the last three home meetings, keeping clean sheets on both occasions.
## Wigan vs Stockport County Matches – Betting Insights
Expected Match Goals: 2.20
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 100%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 66.8%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 25%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 20%
First Half Goals Projection: 0.89 (58% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Wigan Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.53
Best Bet 2: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.61 (est.)
Wigan’s home form and defensive edge suggest they’ll control this game. The model’s correct score of 2-0 underlines value in a home-focused, low-scoring outcome.
Football Park predictions are powered by advanced algorithmic analysis. While probabilities indicate value, football remains unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
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