Home Win
Accrington ST 2 - 1 Colchester
Who will win?
1
Accrington ST
x
Draw
2
Colchester
Accrington Stanley and Colchester United clash in League Two action on 13 September 2025 at 12:30 GMT, with the Wham Stadium hosting what promises to be a competitive fixture. Both sides know each other well from recent encounters, and history suggests narrow margins: the last three meetings have produced one win apiece and a draw.
As seen in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield predictions, Football Park’s algorithm-driven model factors in over 200 data points, including head-to-head results and probability-based outcomes. For this match, the model leans towards Accrington Stanley at home, with a projected 40% win probability compared to 26.7% for Colchester. With both teams averaging around one expected goal, our algorithm suggests a tight contest but one where Accrington hold the edge.
Home Win Probability: 40.00%
Draw Probability: 33.30%
Away Win Probability: 26.70%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-1 Accrington
Accrington Stanley to Win @ 2.80 – Backed by home advantage and algorithm support.
Both Teams to Score @ 2.00 – With a 76.7% probability, this is one of the model’s strongest markets for the match.
Early Goals Likely: With 73% probability of over 0.5 first-half goals, this fixture tends to start with intensity.
Half-Time Projection: Accrington lead at the break in 46.7% of simulations, suggesting they could seize early control.
Scoring Outlook: The algorithm forecasts 2.30 total goals, with a slight edge for the home side in front of goal.
Recent results show a balanced rivalry:
31 Aug 2024: Accrington 1-1 Colchester
28 Oct 2023: Accrington 0-1 Colchester
10 Nov 2018: Accrington 1-0 Colchester
05 Aug 2017: Accrington 3-1 Colchester
18 Feb 2017: Accrington 2-1 Colchester
Accrington have won three of their last five home matches against Colchester, highlighting their narrow but consistent edge.
Home Win @ 2.80 – Strong value considering historical head-to-head advantage.
Draw @ 3.20 – A realistic outcome with a one-in-three probability.
Away Win @ 2.55 – Slightly shorter than expected given Colchester’s lower algorithm rating.
Both Teams to Score @ 2.00 – Excellent value, supported by a 76.7% algorithm projection.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.35 – A moderate option with a 35% probability, best paired with BTTS for risk-tolerant bettors.
Accrington Stanley to Win @ 2.80 – Backed by strong head-to-head numbers and home-field advantage.
Both Teams to Score @ 2.00 – Algorithm’s standout high-probability selection.
Venue: Wham Stadium, Accrington.
Kick-off: 12:30 GMT, 13 September 2025.
Broadcast: Coverage available via Sky Sports and EFL digital streaming platforms.
Correct Score Prediction: 2-1 Accrington Stanley.
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Home – a late push from Accrington is expected.
Football Park’s algorithm provides a data-driven edge, but outcomes in football remain unpredictable. Always bet responsibly, stick to your budget, and view betting as entertainment, not investment.
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