Crawley Town vs Cheltenham Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Crawley Town vs Cheltenham Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Crawley Town welcome Cheltenham to the Broadfield Stadium on 13 September 2025 at 12:30 GMT in a League Two clash that could prove decisive for both sides. Historically, Crawley have enjoyed strong home form in this fixture, winning each of the last three meetings at Broadfield by a 1-0 scoreline. With momentum and algorithm-driven probabilities in their favour, the hosts are tipped to edge another close contest.

As seen in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield predictions, Football Park’s data-driven model uses over 200 metrics to simulate outcomes. For this match, the algorithm leans heavily toward a Crawley Town victory, giving them a 53.3% chance of winning, compared to 26.7% for Cheltenham. With the expected goal output leaning toward Crawley, this fixture looks primed for another strong home performance.

Crawley Town vs Cheltenham Predictions

Home Win Probability: 53.30%

Draw Probability: 20.00%

Away Win Probability: 26.70%

Correct Score Prediction: 3-0 Crawley

Top 2 Percentage Best Bets

Crawley Town to Win @ 1.85 – Supported by over 53% win probability and strong historical home form.

Over 1.5 Match Goals @ 1.25 – Backed by a 75% probability, this offers reliable value for bettors.

Crawley Town vs Cheltenham Timeline & Match Insights

Early Goals Outlook: The model suggests a 53% chance of over 0.5 first-half goals, indicating a cautious but progressive opening.

Half-Time Projection: Crawley hold a 40% chance of leading at the interval, while a draw remains the next most likely scenario at 46.7%.

Scoring Forecast: With 2.5 expected match goals, Crawley are tipped to be the more clinical side in attack.

Crawley Town vs Cheltenham Matches – Head-to-Head

A look at recent meetings highlights Crawley’s consistent home dominance:

16 Apr 2021: Crawley Town 1-0 Cheltenham

31 Aug 2019: Crawley Town 1-0 Cheltenham

05 Jan 2019: Crawley Town 1-0 Cheltenham

24 Mar 2018: Crawley Town 3-5 Cheltenham

14 Apr 2017: Crawley Town 0-0 Cheltenham

Crawley have won three of their last four home games against Cheltenham, underlining their advantage in this fixture.

Crawley Town vs Cheltenham Betting Analysis

Home Win @ 1.85 – Algorithm-favoured outcome with historical backing.

Draw @ 3.50 – Possible, but significantly less supported by the data.

Away Win @ 4.10 – Longer odds reflect Cheltenham’s uphill task.

Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.85 – A fair-value option but with only a 45% probability.

Both Teams to Score @ 1.73 – A coin-flip market with 50% likelihood, riskier than BTTS stats usually suggest.

Best Crawley Town vs Cheltenham Betting Tips

Crawley Town to Win @ 1.85 – Backed by the algorithm’s strongest probability.

Over 1.5 Match Goals @ 1.25 – A reliable low-risk market aligned with the expected goal output.

Match Facts

Venue: Broadfield Stadium, Crawley.

Kick-off: 12:30 GMT, 13 September 2025.

Broadcast: Available on Sky Sports and EFL streaming platforms.

Correct Score Prediction: 3-0 Crawley.

Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Home/Home – Crawley are expected to take control and see out the match.

Responsible Gambling

At Football Park, we stress that betting should always remain responsible. Our algorithm provides data-backed probabilities, but football remains unpredictable. Wager sensibly and stay within your limits.

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