

Home Win
Fleetwood Town 3 - 2 Crewe
Who will win?
1

Fleetwood Town
x
Draw
2

Crewe
England League Two action returns on Tuesday, 19 August 2025, as Fleetwood Town welcome Crewe to Highbury Stadium, with kick-off set for 19:45 GMT. This clash promises plenty of intrigue, with both sides carrying attacking potential but also defensive vulnerabilities.
According to Football Park’s advanced prediction model, Fleetwood hold a 53.3% win probability, compared to 40% for Crewe, while the draw is least likely at just 6.7%. The algorithm leans towards a Fleetwood victory (correct score 3-2), with 3.0 expected match goals highlighting potential for an end-to-end contest.
Key Betting Tip: Backing Fleetwood Town to win @ 2.70 represents standout value. With both defences expected to concede, the data also strongly supports Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.10, offering an excellent double angle for punters.
Our data-driven model highlights a game tilted towards the hosts but with goals on both sides. Crewe’s higher expected goals (1.7) balance against Fleetwood’s superior win probability, suggesting an open, high-scoring match.
Home Win Probability: 53.30%
Away Win Probability: 40.00%
Draw Probability: 6.70%
Most Likely Correct Score: 3-2
Both Teams to Score Probability: 53.30%
Expected Match Goals: 3.00
Fleetwood Town to Win @ 2.70 – Algorithm edges in favour of the hosts with strong win probability.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.10 – High goal expectancy makes this the smart complementary market.
Past meetings show plenty of goals and decisive outcomes:
22 Oct 2024: Fleetwood Town 0-1 Crewe
16 Oct 2021: Fleetwood Town 3-0 Crewe
20 Apr 2021: Fleetwood Town 0-2 Crewe
08 May 2016: Fleetwood Town 2-0 Crewe
09 Aug 2014: Fleetwood Town 2-1 Crewe
08 Oct 2013: Fleetwood Town 4-0 Crewe
Fleetwood have historically been strong at home in this fixture, winning four of their last six, with Crewe’s 1-0 win in 2024 the most recent success. This adds further weight to the algorithm’s Fleetwood backing.
Half-Time/Full-Time
HT Draw Probability: 46.7%
FT Home Win Probability: 53.3%
The model suggests Fleetwood could take control late, making Draw/Home (HT/FT) a strong secondary angle.
Goals
Over 0.5 Goals: 90%
Over 1.5 Goals: 85%
Over 2.5 Goals: 65%
Over 3.5 Goals: 30%
These numbers point firmly towards a game with multiple goals, with Over 2.5 the most reliable market based on price and probability.
Fleetwood Town to Win @ 2.70 – Clear value with win probability over 50%.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.10 – Backed by strong data with expected goals at 3.0.
Together, these form Football Park’s expert double angle for this clash.
All predictions are based on statistical modelling and historical data. While the algorithm favours Fleetwood and goals, remember that football remains unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different [football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.
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