Gillingham vs Chesterfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Gillingham vs Chesterfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

England League Two continues on Tuesday, 19 August 2025, as Gillingham host Chesterfield at Priestfield Stadium, with kick-off at 19:45 GMT. This matchup is expected to be cagey, with both sides carrying low attacking numbers and our algorithm pointing towards a tight, tactical affair.

According to Football Park’s data-driven model, the draw holds the highest probability at 40%, edging out both a Chesterfield win (33.3%) and a Gillingham victory (26.7%). The correct score forecast of 1-1 further underlines expectations of a balanced, low-scoring contest.

Key Betting Tip: With goals expected to be limited, Draw @ 3.20 and Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 stand out as the most reliable markets for bettors.

Gillingham vs Chesterfield Predictions

Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 key match variables, projecting a contest dominated by fine margins:

Home Win Probability: 26.70%

Away Win Probability: 33.30%

Draw Probability: 40.00%

Most Likely Correct Score: 1-1

Both Teams to Score Probability: 50.00%

Expected Match Goals: 1.90

Football Park’s Top 2 Best Bets:

Draw @ 3.20 – With a 40% chance, the algorithm points firmly towards a stalemate.

Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 – Goal projection under 2.0 makes this the most consistent market.

Gillingham vs Chesterfield Timeline

Recent meetings suggest a balanced rivalry with goals often spread thin:

31 Aug 2024: Gillingham 1-0 Chesterfield

14 Feb 2017: Gillingham 1-1 Chesterfield

27 Feb 2016: Gillingham 1-2 Chesterfield

20 Dec 2014: Gillingham 2-3 Chesterfield

01 Sep 2012: Gillingham 1-1 Chesterfield

With three draws across their last five meetings, this fixture historically leans towards tight outcomes – reinforcing the algorithm’s Draw/Under 2.5 Goals angle.

Gillingham vs Chesterfield Matches – Betting Markets

Half-Time/Full-Time

HT Draw Probability: 60%

FT Draw Probability: 40%

Backing Draw/Draw HT-FT @ high odds offers significant value, with both sides struggling to take early control.

Goals

Over 0.5 Match Goals: 85%

Over 1.5 Match Goals: 65%

Over 2.5 Match Goals: 20%

Over 3.5 Match Goals: 5%

The data strongly points to a low-scoring encounter, with Under 2.5 Goals the standout play.

Expert Betting Tips – Football Park

Draw @ 3.20 – Algorithm’s strongest projection with a 40% probability.

Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 – Supported by expected goals at just 1.9 and historical H2H trends.

Responsible Betting

All predictions are powered by Football Park’s in-house algorithm. While the numbers highlight value in the draw and low goals markets, football can always deliver surprises. Always bet responsibly and within your means.

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