Away Win
Newport County 1 - 2 Bristol Rovers
Who will win?
1
Newport County
x
Draw
2
Bristol Rovers
Newport County host Bristol Rovers at Rodney Parade on Saturday, 6 September 2025 (12:30 GMT) in an England League Two fixture. Football Park’s advanced algorithm strongly favours the visitors, giving Bristol Rovers a 60% chance of victory compared to just 26.7% for Newport. The model predicts a 1-2 away win, with both teams likely to score given a 63.3% BTTS probability.
With Rovers boasting a stronger attack (1.4 expected goals vs 0.9 for Newport) and history on their side, the value lies in backing the away win alongside goals at both ends.
Date: 6 September 2025
Kick-Off: 12:30 GMT
Competition: England League Two
Venue: Rodney Parade, Newport – A compact multi-sport venue with a capacity of 7,850, known for its tight pitch and challenging conditions for visiting teams.
Referee: TBC
UK: Sky Sports (selected League Two coverage) / iFollow
Europe: Available via bet365 streaming
Home Win Probability: 26.7%
Away Win Probability: 60%
Draw Probability: 13.3%
Correct Score Prediction: 1-2
Both Teams to Score Probability: 63.3%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Away
Bristol Rovers to Win @ 1.80 – Backed by a 60% win probability and stronger attacking projection.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.73 – With 63.3% BTTS probability, both sides are expected to find the net.
14 Nov 2023: Newport 0-1 Bristol Rovers
05 Mar 2022: Newport 1-0 Bristol Rovers
21 Aug 2020: Newport 1-1 Bristol Rovers
19 Mar 2016: Newport 1-4 Bristol Rovers
17 Aug 2013: Newport 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced, but Rovers’ more recent 1-0 win away in 2023 reinforces their edge heading into this fixture.
Expected Match Goals: 2.30
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 100%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 55%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 20%
First Half Goals Projection: 0.93 (67% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Bristol Rovers to Win @ 1.80
Best Bet 2: Both Teams to Score @ 1.73
Bristol Rovers’ superior attacking output and recent dominance suggest an away win, though Newport’s home resilience means they can still get on the scoresheet. A 1-2 away victory matches the algorithm’s forecast and recent trends.
Football Park predictions are powered by algorithmic analysis across hundreds of data points. While probabilities highlight value, football remains unpredictable. Please gamble responsibly.
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