Hapoel Umm Al-Fahm vs Tzeirey Tamra Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Hapoel Umm Al-Fahm vs Tzeirey Tamra Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Date: Tuesday, 21 October 2025 Kick-off: 16:00 GMT Competition: Israel Liga Alef

Match Overview

Hapoel Umm Al-Fahm and Tzeirey Tamra meet in what promises to be a competitive and open Liga Alef clash. Both sides have shown attacking intent this season, with Football Park’s model projecting 3.1 total expected goals — among the highest in the division this week.

While the hosts hold a slight advantage with a 45% win probability, Tzeirey Tamra’s 32.5% chance of victory and recent away form suggest they’re more than capable of making this a close encounter.

The model predicts a likely 3-0 home win, but with both teams tending to push forward aggressively, the best betting value lies in the Over 2.5 Goals market.

Football Park Algorithm Predictions

Our AI-powered predictive model processes over 200 statistical inputs per team — including xG, shot conversion, defensive transitions, and possession value — to generate outcome probabilities:

Home Win Probability: 45.00%

Away Win Probability: 32.50%

Draw Probability: 22.50%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 43.00%

Expected Match Goals: 3.10

The data leans toward a high-scoring game, though Hapoel Umm Al-Fahm’s superior xG (2.0 vs 1.2) gives them the upper hand.

Key Betting Tips

1. Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.80

The standout betting angle from Football Park’s projections is goals. With an expected goals total of 3.1, and both teams averaging more than 1.5 goals per match combined, this fixture has strong potential for Over 2.5 Goals to land.

Hapoel Umm Al-Fahm’s home matches have averaged 3.4 goals this season, while Tzeirey Tamra have seen Over 2.5 in four of their last five away games. Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.80

2. Hapoel Umm Al-Fahm to Win @ 2.75

Despite the narrow odds, the data favours the hosts to edge this contest. They boast a 45% win probability, alongside 2.0 expected goals, which is significantly higher than Tamra’s output.

With a predicted scoreline of 3-0, and better first-half momentum statistics, Hapoel Umm Al-Fahm look the more consistent side in front of goal. Recommended Bet: Hapoel Umm Al-Fahm to Win @ 2.75

Statistical Breakdown – Hapoel Umm Al-Fahm vs Tzeirey Tamra Predictions

Over 0.5 Match Goals: 86.7% probability

Over 1.5 Match Goals: 60% probability

Over 2.5 Match Goals: 60% probability

Over 3.5 Match Goals: 30% probability

Both Teams to Score: 43% probability

Over 0.5 First Half Goals: 43% probability

Although the data shows a low first-half goal expectancy, the second half is projected to open up, with the majority of scoring opportunities expected after the interval.

Betting Outlook

This is a classic Liga Alef fixture where both sides’ attacking mindset could produce an exciting, open affair. Hapoel Umm Al-Fahm’s home advantage, paired with a high goal projection, makes the Over 2.5 Goals market the safest statistical play, while a home win remains a valuable alternative.

Predicted outcome: Hapoel Umm Al-Fahm 3-0 Tzeirey Tamra Most valuable markets: Over 2.5 Goals and Hapoel Umm Al-Fahm to Win

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