Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Leones Negros UDG host CA La Paz at the Estadio Jalisco on Sunday, 14 September 2025 (19:00 GMT) in Liga de Expansión MX. Football Park’s algorithm strongly favours the home side with a 58.3% win probability, backed by an attacking projection of 2.5 expected goals. However, CA La Paz are expected to contribute offensively as well (1.5 goals projected), making this a fixture that points firmly towards goals at both ends.

With both sides combining for an expected 4.0 match goals, bettors can anticipate a high-scoring affair. The model leans towards a 3-2 home victory, which aligns with recent head-to-head clashes.

Key Betting Tip: Leones Negros UDG to Win @ 1.50

Match Details

Date: 14 September 2025

Kick-Off: 19:00 GMT

Competition: Mexico Liga de Expansión MX

Venue: Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara – a historic 55,000-capacity stadium and one of Mexico’s most iconic football grounds.

Referee: TBC

Broadcast Details

Mexico: ESPN / ViX+

USA: TUDN / ESPN Deportes

Global: Check local listings for Liga de Expansión MX coverage

Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz Predictions

Home Win Probability: 58.3%

Away Win Probability: 15%

Draw Probability: 26.7%

Correct Score Prediction: 3-2

Both Teams to Score Probability: 82.5%

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 75%

Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Home/Home

Football Park’s Top 2 Best Bets

Leones Negros UDG to Win @ 1.50 – Strong home advantage and a 58.3% probability of victory.

Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 – With 4.0 expected match goals and 75% probability, goals look highly likely.

Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz Timeline

13 Oct 2024: Leones Negros UDG 3-0 CA La Paz

06 May 2024: Leones Negros UDG 3-1 CA La Paz

28 Mar 2024: Leones Negros UDG 2-4 CA La Paz

24 Feb 2023: Leones Negros UDG 3-2 CA La Paz

Recent meetings consistently deliver goals, with all four of the last head-to-head fixtures producing at least four goals.

Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz Matches – Betting Insights

Expected Match Goals: 4.00

Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 100%

Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 90%

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 75%

Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 58.8%

First Half Goals Projection: 1.30 (62% chance of at least one first-half goal)

Expert Betting Tips – Football Park

Best Bet 1: Leones Negros UDG to Win @ 1.50

Best Bet 2: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53

Leones Negros’ dominant record at home combined with CA La Paz’s tendency to score makes this a prime candidate for both a home win and a high-scoring contest. A 3-2 correct score sits perfectly within the algorithm’s projection.

Responsible Betting

All Football Park predictions are powered by advanced data modelling. While the probabilities highlight value, remember football remains unpredictable. Always gamble responsibly.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park delivers expert, algorithm-driven predictions across Liga de Expansión MX, Latin American leagues, Europe’s top divisions, and non-league football, offering bettors trusted insights and value-driven betting opportunities.