Liga MX Femenil


Home Win
Guadalajara W 3 - 0 Necaxa W
Who will win?
1

Guadalajara W
x
Draw
2

Necaxa W
Match Date: October 31, 2025 | Kick-off: 23:00 GMT | Competition: Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Guadalajara Women return to action at Estadio Akron, where they host Necaxa Women in a fixture that Football Park’s predictive model strongly favours towards the home side. With an impressive 73.3% win probability, Guadalajara enter this contest backed by a long-standing dominance in this head-to-head matchup, having won each of the last five meetings by an aggregate score of 18-1.
Football Park’s data model projects a high offensive output, forecasting 3.40 Expected Match Goals and 2.50 Expected Home Goals for Guadalajara, indicating another comprehensive display could be on the horizon. Despite Necaxa’s improved transitional play, their defensive inefficiencies leave them vulnerable to sustained pressure. Based on these metrics, this encounter shapes up as one of the highest-confidence home results in the Liga MX Femenil schedule this week.
Football Park’s data-driven model outlines a decisive statistical advantage for Guadalajara Women:
Home Win: 73.3%
Draw: 13.3%
Away Win: 13.3%
Guadalajara’s Expected Goals (2.50) figure illustrates their relentless attacking consistency, while Necaxa’s modest 0.90 Expected Goals highlights their struggle to produce sufficient scoring opportunities away from home. The algorithm’s Correct Score prediction of 3-0 aligns with both historical data and current performance metrics.
Given Necaxa’s defensive record — conceding three or more goals in four of their last five meetings with Guadalajara — the probability weighting tilts heavily towards another clear home victory.
Predicted Score: Guadalajara W 3-0 Necaxa W Half-Time/Full-Time: Home/Home
Football Park’s Top Two Algorithm-Backed Selections:
Football Park’s model indicates a data-backed scenario dominated by the hosts, built on their superior goal creation and territorial control. Guadalajara’s Expected Home Goals (2.50) rank among the highest in Liga MX Femenil this season, while Necaxa’s Expected Away Goals (0.90) underline a limited attacking projection.
The model anticipates 1.53 Expected First Half Goals, suggesting an early breakthrough is probable — a common pattern for Guadalajara, who have scored inside the opening 30 minutes in four of their past five fixtures. With Over 2.5 Goals projected at 55%, Football Park expects an open contest that could easily surpass the two-goal threshold, especially if Necaxa manage to register from limited counter-attacking chances.
A look at the historical data further strengthens the model’s confidence in a dominant home display:
08 Sep 2024: Guadalajara W 3-1 Necaxa W
05 Mar 2024: Guadalajara W 4-0 Necaxa W
17 Jul 2022: Guadalajara W 3-0 Necaxa W
15 Aug 2021: Guadalajara W 6-0 Necaxa W
23 Aug 2020: Guadalajara W 2-0 Necaxa W
Across these five recent meetings, Guadalajara have scored an average of 3.6 goals per game, conceding only once from open play. This timeline aligns seamlessly with the current Football Park projection — a commanding home performance led by sustained forward pressure and creative output from midfield.
Football Park’s proprietary algorithm isolates two clear markets that present both consistency and value:
Guadalajara W to Win @ 1.06 — Supported by a dominant historical record and 73.3% model confidence.
Both Teams to Score – Yes @ 2.38 — Data-driven secondary play, backed by a 66.7% scoring probability.
While the home win offers limited standalone odds, it serves as a high-confidence selection for parlays or multi-leg accumulators. The BTTS angle, however, introduces a higher-risk, higher-reward alternative that aligns with Necaxa’s recent scoring data trends.
Football Park’s model projects Over 3.5 Goals at a 40% probability, suggesting late-game scoring potential — an additional consideration for those exploring in-play or combination betting.
Football Park emphasises that its algorithm-based projections are designed as analytical tools, not guarantees. Betting should always be approached responsibly, with proper bankroll management and awareness of variance. Wager only what you can afford to lose.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football, built on detailed statistical models and real-time data.
For the latest algorithm-based previews and data-backed insights, visit Football Park Predictions — your trusted destination for analytical football betting expertise.

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