BTTS Yes
Mazatlán W 1 - 3 Pumas UNAM W
Who will win?
1
Mazatlán W
x
Draw
2
Pumas UNAM W
Mazatlán W face a daunting challenge against Pumas UNAM W in this Liga MX Femenil clash on Thursday, August 14, 2025, with kick-off at 04:00 GMT. Football Park’s model heavily favours the visitors, giving Pumas a 53.3% win probability compared to just 20% for Mazatlán. The data also points towards a high-scoring affair, with 3.50 expected match goals and a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Pumas have dominated this matchup in recent years, with multiple heavy wins, although Mazatlán did claim a surprise 2-1 victory in October 2024.
Below, we present our Mazatlán W vs Pumas UNAM W predictions and highlight two of our best data-driven betting tips for this fixture.
Key Betting Tip: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.12 – Strong probability of a high-scoring match given the attacking profile of Pumas and the defensive vulnerabilities of Mazatlán.
Football Park’s data forecasts a 60% chance of the match being level at half-time before Pumas take control in the second half. Pumas are averaging 2.50 expected goals here compared to Mazatlán’s 1.00, and the historical head-to-head suggests a clear attacking edge for the visitors.
The goal markets stand out — with 65% probability for over 2.5 goals and a 63.3% chance of both teams scoring — making this an ideal betting angle.
Model probabilities:
Home Win: 20.00%
Draw: 26.70%
Away Win: 53.30%
Correct Score Prediction: 1-3
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 65.00%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 63.30%
1. Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.12 Why? High-scoring trend in head-to-heads, strong 65% over probability, and attacking imbalance between the sides.
Confidence Level: High
Risk Level: Low
2. Both Teams to Score – Yes Why? 63.3% BTTS probability, plus Mazatlán’s recent home win shows they can breach Pumas’ defence despite being underdogs.
Confidence Level: Medium
Risk Level: Moderate
Venue: Estadio El Kraken, Mazatlán
Kick-off: 04:00 GMT, August 14, 2025
Competition: Liga MX Femenil
Previous Meeting: October 2024 – Mazatlán W 2-1 Pumas UNAM W
Expect an open, high-scoring contest with Pumas UNAM W’s superior firepower likely deciding the game after half-time. Mazatlán will look to repeat last year’s upset, but the probability model strongly backs Pumas to prevail.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.12
Both Teams to Score – Yes
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