Toluca vs Club America

Toluca vs Club America Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Details: November 9, 2025 | Estadio Nemesio Diez | Liga MX Apertura | 01:00 GMT

Arguably one of the biggest fixtures of this stage is taking place on Sunday in Liga MX as second-placed Toluca face third-placed Club America, both of whom are only a point off first. This is the final round of fixtures in the Apertura stage, so a win could see one of these sides finish first provided Cruz Azul drop points against Pumas.

Club America were victorious when these two faces in the Apertura playoffs last season, only for Toluca to beat them in the Clausura playoffs in May of this year. The hosts earned extra bragging rights when they knocked Club America out of the Supercopa in a 3-1 win over the summer. This should be a fiery game.

Key Betting Tips: Over 2.5 Match Goals and BTTS at 2.95 odds on BoyleSports represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our algorithm. These are the two highest scoring teams in the division this year and are both fighting to go first, so we are expecting to see some goals.

We also back an alternative tip on this fixture of Toluca to Win 2.10 odds, which offer good value considering Toluca's form and recent head-to-head history going into this game.

Toluca vs Club America Predicted Lineups

Toluca Predicted XI (3-4-2-1): Luis Garcia; Everardo Lopez, Federico Pereira, Bruno Mendez; Jesus Gallardo, Franco Romero, Marcel Ruiz, Santiago Simon; Nicolas Castro, Jesus Angolo; Paulinho

Alexis Vega is expected back later this month and isn't deemed fit enough to play this tie, while Luan Garcia will remain out until the start of next year.

Club America Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Luis Malagon; Cristian Borja, Igor Lichnovsky, Sebastian Caceres, Kevin Alvarez; Israel Reyes, Erick Sanchez; Allan Saint-Maximin, Alvaro Fidalgo, Brian Rodriguez; Rodrigo Aguirre

Both Henry Martin and Alex Zendejas are unlikely to play, while Jose Zuniga and Isaias Violante are due to be back in the coming weeks. Dagoberto Espinoza's cruciate ligament injury means he still won't be fit until next Spring.

Toluca vs Club America Current League Standings

There is almost nothing to split these sides, which makes for a really exciting and hard-fought tie for the neutral. Both sides have earned 34 points from their 16 games and are only seperated by six goal-difference in Toluca's favour. Toluca's three draws in a row in their last three games has seen them drop from the top and will be desperate to regain the position on the final day.

Cruz Azul sit only one point ahead of them both in first place and can't afford to slip up at all in their game against Pumas while these two face off - any dropped points could let Toluca or Club America finish this stage in first place.

Toluca vs Club America Head-to-Head Timeline

Recent Head-to-Head Results:

History tells us this is a fairly well matched fixture, with Club America just edging it with 16 wins to Toluca's 13. They have also drawn 14 times, so they have pretty much always been as evenly matched as they are now. They've faced each other a lot over the recent 12 months and will therefore have a pretty good understanding of what it takes to beat each other, you would hope.

• July 21, 2025: Club America 1-3 Toluca (Supercopa de la Liga MX)
• May 26, 2025: Toluca 2-0 Club America (Liga MX Clausura Playoff)
• May 23, 2025: Club America 0-0 Toluca (Liga MX Clausura Playoff)
• March 1, 2025: Club America 3-0 Toluca (Liga MX Clausura)
• November 30, 2024: Toluca 0-2 Club America (Liga MX Apertura Playoff)

Toluca and Club America Recent Matches Analysis

Toluca Last 5 Matches:

• Toluca 0-0 Atlas (A) – Liga MX Apertura
• Toluca 2-2 Pachuca (H) – Liga MX Apertura
• Toluca 0-0 Tijuana (A) – Liga MX Apertura
• Toluca 4-0 Queretaro (H) – Liga MX Apertura
• Toluca 4-2 Leon (A) – Liga MX Apertura

After a remarkable eight-game winning streak, Toluca have drawn their last three fixtures in a row. Although not too concerning in the grand scheme of things, it has meant they have dropped back to second on the league going into the final fixture of this stage, so will look to maintain their unbeaten run with three points. They have still proven themselves to be a formidable opponent this year, so Club America will need to bring their A game.

Club America Last 5 Matches:

• Club America 2-0 Leon (H) – Liga MX Apertura
• Club America 2-2 Mazatlan (A) – Liga MX Apertura
• Club America 2-1 Puebla (H) – Liga MX Apertura
• Club America 1-2 Cruz Azul (A) – Liga MX Apertura
• Club America 3-0 Santos (H) – Liga MX Apertura

Three wins in five is usually very good form to be in, but the loss to Cruz Azul was damning in their bid to end the Apertura stage at the summit. They should still be feeling good going into this game given their excellent record in front of goal recently, their front line has looked like a real threat every game.

Toluca vs Club America Predictions

Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with 70.00% confidence in BTTS, as well as a 75.00% confidence in over 2.5 match goals. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.

Best Toluca vs Club America Betting Tips

**Football Park’s Best Bet: Over 2.5 Match Goals and BTTS at 2.95 - Recent goalscoring form for both teams tells us that there's goals in this fixture, especially now they are fighting to challenge Cruz Azul for first in the table. Both sides are able to boast scoring 10 goals in their last five fixtures, and we don't expect that to slow down any time soon.

Key Players to Watch: Toluca vs Club America

Nelson Insfran (Toluca): The top scorer in the league and eight goals in his last seven games, Paulinho is one of, if not the most, emphatic finishers in Mexico at the moment. The Portugese talisman was very successful in his home nation, and you may remember him playing for Braga and Sporting, but he seems right at home putting the ball in the net for Toluca.

Brian Rodriguez (Club America): While I would love to say Allan Saint-Maximan is the man to watch, it is impossible to overlook the contribution that Rodriguez has made this season on the opposite wing. His output has been very good, with seven goals and four assists to his name, as well as outscoring his xG by 2.04 and having some of the best dribbling and chance creation stats for wingers in the league. He is a terrifying proposition for opposing defenders.

Toluca vs Club America Match Facts

Referee: Luis Santander

Stadium Information: Located in Toluco de Lerdo, just outside of Mexico City, the Estadio Nemesio Diez has a capacity of 30,000

Toluca vs Club America: Final Prediction

Toluca 3-1 Club America