Toluca vs Cruz Azul

Toluca take on Cruz Azul in the Liga MX on Saturday, and we've crunched the numbers to see what's likely to happen.

Form Check

You can't argue with Toluca's recent run: 4 wins in 5 games. They've won their last three, so momentum is with them.

Cruz Azul are a mixed bag lately: 1W 2D 2L from the last 5.

What Does The Model Say?

Our model gives Toluca the slight nod (46.70%), though Cruz Azul at 20.00% means this is no foregone conclusion. Draw probability: 33.30%. Our model reckons this ends 2-1.

Will We See Goals?

70.00% for Both Teams to Score. Yeah, we fancy both nets to bulge in this one.

Goals markets: Over 1.5 at 80.00%, Over 2.5 at 60.00%, Over 3.5 at 40.00%. Pretty middle-of-the-road stuff.

The Bet We Like

Gun to our head? Both Teams to Score at odds of 1.67. That's a 70.00% shout according to the numbers.

The Odds

Market prices: Toluca win 1.80, Cruz Azul win 4.33, Draw 3.80. For goals, BTTS Yes 1.67 / No 2.10, Over 2.5 at 1.95.

This preview was generated by our prediction algorithm. It crunches historical data, form, and stats to give you the numbers — but football being football, anything can happen. Bet responsibly.