Liga MX
Home Win
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2 - 1 Atletico San Luis
Who will win?
1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
x
Draw
2
Atletico San Luis
Match Date: Thursday, 23 October 2025 Kick-off: 04:05 GMT Competition: Mexico Liga MX
A confident Pumas side look to extend their dominance over Atletico San Luis when they meet at the Estadio Olímpico Universitario. Football Park’s model rates Pumas as 53.3% favourites, reflecting their consistent home form and attacking firepower.
The visitors have shown flashes of promise but remain inconsistent defensively, especially away from home. With 3.0 expected goals and a 66.7% chance of both teams scoring, the data points towards a lively, end-to-end encounter with Pumas tipped to come out on top.
Football Park’s predictive system — analysing over 200 metrics such as expected goals (xG), shot accuracy, and tempo — forecasts the following outcomes:
Home Win Probability: 53.30%
Away Win Probability: 26.70%
Draw Probability: 20.00%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 66.70%
Expected Match Goals: 3.00
The simulation identifies a 2-1 home victory as the most likely scoreline, reflecting Pumas’ consistent scoring trend at home and San Luis’ ability to hit back on the counter.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to Win @ 1.70
Pumas have been dominant at home this season, winning over half of their matches and scoring freely — averaging 1.7 goals per game. Football Park’s algorithm gives them a 53.3% win chance, making them a strong value pick.
Historically, Pumas have been superior in this fixture, winning five of the last six home meetings against Atletico San Luis. Recommended Bet: Pumas to Win @ 1.70
Both Teams to Score – Yes @ 1.67
Despite Pumas’ edge, San Luis are capable of finding the net — they’ve scored in six of their last seven away matches. Football Park’s model assigns a 66.7% probability for both teams to score, underlining the likelihood of goals at both ends.
Given the open nature of Pumas’ recent games, this market offers excellent value. Recommended Bet: Both Teams to Score – Yes @ 1.67
20 Oct 2024: Pumas 3-0 Atletico San Luis
17 Sep 2023: Pumas 3-2 Atletico San Luis
09 Apr 2023: Pumas 3-1 Atletico San Luis
08 Aug 2021: Pumas 1-3 Atletico San Luis
13 Sep 2020: Pumas 3-0 Atletico San Luis
09 Feb 2020: Pumas 4-0 Atletico San Luis
01 Aug 2019: Pumas 1-1 Atletico San Luis
Pumas have dominated this fixture at home, averaging 3.1 goals per match and keeping three clean sheets in their last five encounters.
Over 0.5 Match Goals: 90% probability
Over 1.5 Match Goals: 80% probability
Over 2.5 Match Goals: 55% probability
Over 3.5 Match Goals: 25% probability
Both Teams to Score: 66.7% probability
Correct Score Prediction: 2-1 Pumas
The model suggests a game filled with attacking exchanges, with a 67% chance of at least one first-half goal and Pumas’ forwards expected to play a decisive role.
Expect an entertaining contest at the Estadio Olímpico Universitario, with Pumas’ attacking efficiency and San Luis’ counterpunching ability combining for a high-paced affair. Pumas should edge it, but the visitors are capable of contributing to the goal tally.
Predicted outcome: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2-1 Atletico San Luis Most valuable markets: Pumas to Win and Both Teams to Score
All Football Park predictions are powered by comprehensive statistical models — they indicate probabilities, not certainties. Always gamble responsibly: set personal limits, never chase losses, and view betting as entertainment.
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