Liga Pro Serie B
Home Win
Ind. Juniors 2 - 1 Gualaceo SC
Who will win?
1
Ind. Juniors
x
Draw
2
Gualaceo SC
Match Date: Thursday, 16 October 2025 Kick-off: 21:00 GMT Competition: Ecuador Liga Pro Serie B
Independiente Juniors host Gualaceo SC in what promises to be an entertaining Serie B encounter, with both sides possessing plenty of attacking quality but defensive frailties that could make this a high-event affair.
Football Park’s advanced model leans toward a home victory, but the data also points to a strong likelihood of both teams finding the net. With a predicted 2-1 scoreline and a 73.3% Both Teams to Score probability, the numbers suggest a match that could deliver sustained end-to-end action in the final third.
Football Park’s predictive engine considers 200+ performance metrics across recent matches, including offensive patterns, defensive efficiency, and home/away balance:
Home Win Probability: 46.70%
Away Win Probability: 26.70%
Draw Probability: 26.70%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 73.30%
Expected Match Goals: 2.70
The algorithm’s correct score prediction of 2-1 in favour of Ind. Juniors reflects their superior attacking rhythm at home and higher conversion rate.
Football Park’s model indicates a 46.7% home win likelihood, making Ind. Juniors the value play at odds of 2.40. The hosts are unbeaten in five home meetings with Gualaceo and average 1.5 goals per game on home turf this season. With 60% of first-half projections leaning toward a draw, a Draw/Ind. Juniors Half-Time/Full-Time market could also hold added value. Recommended Bet: Ind. Juniors to Win @ 2.40
With a 73.3% BTTS probability, this is one of the strongest predictive indicators of the round. Both clubs have scored in four of their last five encounters, including a 4-1 thriller last season. Gualaceo’s quick transitional play and Juniors’ expansive setup make goals at both ends highly likely. Recommended Bet: Both Teams to Score @ 1.75 (estimated)
13 May 2025: Ind. Juniors 1-1 Gualaceo SC
30 Aug 2024: Ind. Juniors 4-1 Gualaceo SC
28 Mar 2024: Ind. Juniors 3-2 Gualaceo SC
09 Jul 2021: Ind. Juniors 1-3 Gualaceo SC
14 Apr 2021: Ind. Juniors 2-0 Gualaceo SC
14 Sep 2020: Ind. Juniors 1-1 Gualaceo SC
30 Oct 2019: Ind. Juniors 0-0 Gualaceo SC
01 Jun 2019: Ind. Juniors 2-1 Gualaceo SC
Ind. Juniors have taken points from six of their last seven meetings, often asserting dominance in home fixtures — including a 4-1 victory in 2024 that underlined their attacking superiority.
Over 0.5 Match Goals: 90% probability
Over 1.5 Match Goals: 85% probability
Over 2.5 Match Goals: 50% probability
Over 0.5 First Half Goals: 53% probability
These metrics reinforce the expectation of a lively, open contest, particularly in the second half, where both teams historically generate most of their scoring opportunities.
Football Park’s model anticipates a competitive but attacking fixture, with Ind. Juniors’ superior home record giving them the edge. Both Teams to Score remains one of the most reliable statistical angles, supported by consistent head-to-head data.
Expect an open, dynamic match with chances at both ends — and a strong likelihood that Ind. Juniors will prevail narrowly on home soil.
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