Home Win
Monaco 2 - 1 Le Havre
Who will win?
1
Monaco
x
Draw
2
Le Havre
Stade Louis-II will host the Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Le Havre on Saturday, August 16, 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 GMT. Football Park’s algorithm strongly favours Monaco, giving them a 58.30% chance of victory compared to Le Havre’s 20.00%. While Monaco’s home advantage is clear, the data also shows a 62.50% probability for Both Teams to Score, suggesting this might be a competitive affair rather than a straightforward home win.
Historically, Monaco have dominated this fixture, winning three of the last four meetings at home. Their most recent encounter in September 2024 ended 3-1, further highlighting the likelihood of goals for both sides.
Key Betting Tip: Both Teams to Score @ 1.91 – backed by a high model probability and past head-to-head scoring trends.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Both Teams to Score @ 1.91 – supported by a 62.50% algorithm probability and consistent head-to-head goal patterns.
Our algorithm’s top two highest-probability selections are:
Monaco to Win – 58.30% Probability
Both Teams to Score – 62.50% Probability
The most likely scoreline projection is 2-1 to Monaco, indicating the hosts should have the edge but without shutting out the visitors.
With close to a 60% chance of victory and home dominance in recent meetings, Monaco are rightly favourites. While the odds are short, they remain a solid inclusion for accumulator bets.
Given the visitors’ 0.90 expected goals and their record of scoring in the last two meetings, the BTTS market presents excellent value. Monaco’s attacking style often leaves them open to conceding, which boosts this bet’s appeal.
With a 73.30% probability of a half-time draw, this could be a game that comes to life after the break. Monaco are likely to push aggressively in the second half, while Le Havre may look to hit on the counter, taking advantage of any defensive gaps.
Monaco have won 3 of their last 4 home games against Le Havre.
Both teams have scored in 2 of the last 3 meetings.
The model projects Over 2.5 Goals at 57.50%, aligning with the BTTS prediction.
Expect Monaco to dominate possession and territory but for Le Havre to find a breakthrough. The combination of Monaco’s attacking depth and Le Havre’s counter-attacking threat makes Monaco to Win and Both Teams to Score the standout betting picks.
Monaco to Win @ 1.33
Both Teams to Score @ 1.91
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