Home Win
Paris FC 2 - 1 Metz
Who will win?
1
Paris FC
x
Draw
2
Metz
Paris FC host Metz at the Stade Charléty on Sunday, 31 August 2025 (16:15 GMT) in France Ligue 1. Football Park’s predictive algorithm makes Paris FC the favourites with a 46.7% chance of victory, while Metz are given just a 26.7% chance. The model expects an open contest, with 2.90 projected goals and a most likely outcome of 2-1 to Paris FC.
With Paris FC averaging nearly two goals per home game in the model and Metz conceding heavily in recent meetings, the hosts are well-placed to secure three points.
Date: 31 August 2025
Kick-Off: 16:15 GMT
Competition: France Ligue 1
Venue: Stade Charléty, Paris – A 20,000-capacity ground with a distinctive oval design, offering a lively home atmosphere in the capital.
Referee: TBC
France: Amazon Prime Video / Canal+
UK: TNT Sports
Europe: DAZN (selected regions)
Home Win Probability: 46.7%
Away Win Probability: 26.7%
Draw Probability: 26.7%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-1
Both Teams to Score Probability: 56.7%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Home
Paris FC to Win @ 1.91 – Backed by the algorithm’s 46.7% win projection and home advantage.
Over 1.5 First Half Goals @ 2.75 – With a 47% probability and a high first-half goals expectation, this market carries strong value.
14 Sep 2024: Paris FC 1-2 Metz
12 Nov 2022: Paris FC 1-4 Metz
22 Sep 2018: Paris FC 2-1 Metz
18 Mar 2016: Paris FC 1-2 Metz
26 Apr 2013: Paris FC 0-2 Metz
Metz have dominated recent encounters, but Paris FC’s home form and current projections shift the balance in their favour.
Expected Match Goals: 2.90
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 100%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 85%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 20%
First Half Goals Projection: 1.53 (73% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Paris FC to Win @ 1.91
Best Bet 2: Over 1.5 First Half Goals @ 2.75
Paris FC’s attacking edge should prove decisive against a Metz side that has leaked goals in recent visits to the capital. The data points towards a lively first half and a home win by a narrow margin.
Football Park predictions are generated using advanced algorithmic analysis. While probability models highlight betting value, football remains unpredictable. Always gamble responsibly.
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