Cincinnati vs Inter Miami Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Details: July 17, 2025 | TQL Stadium | Major League Soccer | 00:30 (BST)

Round 23 of Major League Soccer kicks off on Wednesday night, Cincinnati host Inter Miami at the TQL Stadium in a huge heavyweight Eastern Conference clash. Cinci are one point from the top of their conference, and will want to bounce back from derby day defeat. That will be a huge challenge as Inter Miami has the best form in the entire league, winning five straight MLS games.

Key Betting Tip: Over 3.5 Goals at 1.83 odds (Kwiff) represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our team of in-house tipsters.

Cincinnati vs Inter Miami Predicted Lineups

Cincinnati Predicted XI (3-5-2): Roman Celentano, Lukas Engel, Miles Robinson, Matt Miazga; Luca Orellano, Brian Anunga, Evander, Pavel Bucha, DeAndre Yedlin; Kevin Denkey, Kei Kamara

Injuries: Cinci will be without Nick Hagglund in defence, Obinna Nwobodo is absent from midfield, Sergio Santos, and Yuya Kubo are a miss further forward.

Inter Miami Predicted XI (4-4-2): Oscar Ustari, Jordi Alba, Marcelo Weigandt, Maximiliano Falcon, Hector Martinez; Telasco Segovia, Sergio Busquets, Benjamin Cremaschi, Tadeo Allende, Luis Suarez, Lionel Messi

Injuries: Ian Fray, Gonzalo Lujan, and Noah Allen are still unavailable to start in Miami’s back line. Yannick Bright will be absent from the midfield.

Cincinnati vs Inter Miami Current League Standings

Cincinnati are 2nd in the Eastern Conference and 3rd overall in the MLS. They’re one point off the top and almost guaranteed a playoff spot at this early stage with 42 points (40 points was enough in the Eastern Conference in 2024).

Inter Miami are 5th in the Eastern Conference and 7th overall in the MLS. They’re five points away from the top of the East, and have three games in hand over the four teams above them. A win in this match would take them within one point of Cinci in 2nd, with the Herons looking like serious contenders to win the Supporters' Shield back-to-back, a feat that has not been achieved since the LA Galaxy in 2010 & 2011.

Cincinnati vs Inter Miami Head-to-Head Timeline

This pair have met 11 times since Miami’s inaugural 2020 campaign. Across those games, we have seen four Cincinnati wins, five Miami wins, and two draws. Those 11 games have seen 44 goals, averaging 4 goals per game between the two. Inter Miami won the first four meetings, but have only won one of the last seven, giving Cincinnati the psychological advantage heading into this match.

Recent Head-to-Head Results:

• August 2024: Inter Miami 2-0 Cincinnati (MLS)
• July 2024: Cincinnati 6-1 Inter Miami (MLS)
• October 2023: Inter Miami 0-1 Cincinnati (MLS)
• August 2023: Cincinnati 3-3 Inter Miami (US Open Cup)
• April 2023: Cincinnati 1-0 Inter Miami (MLS)

Recent Cincinnati and Inter Miami Matches Analysis

Cincinnati Last 5 Matches:

• Cincinnati 2-4 Columbus Crew (MLS)
• Cincinnati 2-1 Chicago Fire (MLS)
• Orlando City 1-2 Cincinnati (MLS)
• Montreal 1-3 Cincinnati (MLS)
• New England Revolution 0-1 Cincinnati (MLS)

Cincinnati were on a winning streak of four before losing the Hell is Real Derby shockingly. Cinci were two goals up within five minutes of the Ohio Derby, before conceding four goals for the third time this season to ultimately lose the game. Cincinnati’s weakness is their defence failing to click; their 31 goals conceded are the most out of the entire top 8 in the East. Individually, Miazga, Engel, and Robinson are all strong centre halves.

Inter Miami Last 5 Matches:

• Inter Miami 2-1 Nashville (MLS)
• New England Revolution 1-2 Inter Miami (MLS)
• Montreal 1-4 Inter Miami (MLS)
• PSG 4-0 Inter Miami (Club World Cup)
• Inter Miami 2-2 Palmeiras (Club World Cup)

Miami have recovered from their harsh but respectable CWC exit by winning three in a row. Notably, it has been 11 MLS games since the Herons kept a clean sheet; however, their goal-scoring power often sees them bag the three points. Inter Miami are on a winning streak of five MLS games, providing Cincinnati with their biggest challenge of the season so far.

Cincinnati vs Inter Miami Predictions

Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with confidence in over 3.5 goals to be scored. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.

Best Cincinnati vs Inter Miami Betting Tips

Football Park’s Best Bet: Over 3.5 Goals @ 1.83 (Kwiff) - Our team of in-house betting tipsters have predicted both teams to score in this fixture. The team’s form, goalscoring, and head-to-head record justify confidence in this selection.

Key Players to Watch: Cincinnati vs Inter Miami

Evander (Cincinnati): The Brazilian attacking midfielder is a strong contender for MLS MVP, and was last year for Portland as well. One of the outstanding players in the league, Evander has the ability to create a wonder goal from nothing. He has four goals and two assists in his last four MLS games, making it 20 goal contributions overall for the season.

Lionel Messi (Inter Miami): A name that needs no introduction, Messi is currently carrying Miami on his back and breaking records doing so. The Argentinian has scored a brace in five straight MLS games and has 16 goals for the season.

Pavel Bucha (Cincinnati): There’s a reason why Cincinnati’s General Manager, Paul Bright, labelled Bucha as the team’s top player this season, and not Evander or Denkey. The team’s midfield engine, Bucha is everywhere on the pitch playing at a consistent rate. He also scored his second goal of the season last time out, giving him confidence heading into this game.

Kevin Denkey (Cincinnati): Only five players have scored more goals than the forward this season. Evander’s attacking partner has justified his record-breaking transfer fee by scoring 12 in 20 starts, including four in his last seven.

Cincinnati vs Inter Miami Match Facts

• Cincinnati have 10 goals in their last 5 matches.
• There has not been a draw between the clubs in any of their last 5 meetings.

Broadcast Details: This match will be available globally to stream exclusively with the MLS Season Pass subscription available via Apple TV.

Stadium Information: TQL Stadium is an association football-specific stadium in Ohio. It is the home of FC Cincinnati, who have played there since the stadium opened on May 16, 2021. The stadium holds approximately 26,000 spectators and is located in the West End neighbourhood.