Home Win
St Louis City 3 - 2 FC Dallas
Who will win?
1
St Louis City
x
Draw
2
FC Dallas
As we enter the autumn, the closing stages of the 2025 MLS season are upon us, and on Sunday, there is a Western Conference clash between St Louis City and FC Dallas. Both sides have endured a troublesome season, with neither looking all that likely to qualify for the play-offs, although a Dallas victory here could still give the Texas side hope.
Key Betting Tips: St Louis to Win at 1.8 odds on Kwiff represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our algorithm. Another key tip provided by our algorithm is Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS with there being both an 81.8% and 91.1% chance of these events occurring respectively.
St Louis Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Roman Bürki; Devin Padelford, Timo Baumgartl, Henry Kessler, Conrad Wallem; Eduard Löwen, Christopher Durkin; Marcel Hartel, Tomas Ostrak, Sang-Bin Jeong; Joao Klauss.
David Critchley may make just one change to his side that faced Houston Dynamo last week. Alfredo Morales could make way for Durkin in the midfield pairing with Löwen in front of the back line. St Louis will be without Cedric Teuchert for the fixture through a muscle injury.
Dallas Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Michael Collodi; Lalas Abubakar, Osaze Urhoghide, Sebastien Ibeagha, Shaq Moore; Christian Cappis, Ramiro; Anderson Julio, Sebastian Lletget, Patrickson Delgado; Logan Farrington.
As for Dallas, they could make a handful of changes to the side that took on LAFC. Both Kaick Ferreira and Bernard Kamungo could make way for Urhoghide and Lletget. Eric Quillwill be without Maarten Paes and Paxton Pomykal for the match with injuries.
St Louis currently reside towards the bottom of the Western Conference. Only LA Galaxy are below them, with the side from Missouri only winning five matches so far this season, losing 17. Their 21 points makes it almost impossible for them to make the play-offs with St Louis needing to win almost every game from here on out.
As for Dallas, they are hitting form at the perfect time. They have lost just one of the past six games, and they are now just five points off the play-offs. They have picked up 30 points so far from 27 games, winning seven, drawing nine and losing 11.
Since St Louis’ inception into the MLS in 2023, the sides have met on six occasions. So far, it has been a relatively close head-to-head, with Dallas winning three to St Louis’ two. One thing that is worth noting is that the away side has never won this fixture, backing our choice of a home victory.
Recent Head-to-Head Results:
The sides last met mid-July, with Dallas securing a comfortable victory. A first half goal from Ferreira was then added to by Petar Musa late on with a brace in the last 10 minutes.
St Louis Last 5 Matches:
Scoring has not been an issue for St Louis recently; it is the defence that has let them down not just recently but all season long. They have scored two goals in each of their last four games. One of which they won, the other three all resulted in 3-2 defeats.
Dallas Last 5 Matches:
Dallas have been playing some good football recently. They have made two clean sheets in the past five games, winning two of them and achieving two draws too. They come into this match on good form, and they will be looking to continue this run.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with confidence in a St Louis Win. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.
Football Park’s Best Bet: St Louis to Win @ 1.8 - Recent form suggests confidence in a home victory. Mainly off the head-t-head record, our algorithm believes there is a strong chance of 42.3% of a home win. Five of the six meetings have ended in a home victory too and Dallas have not registered an away win since June.
Eduard Löwen (St Louis): The German midfielder has been pivotal in the middle of the park for St Louis this season. He is a key threat going forward, registering seven goal involvements in just 11 starts this season.
Shaq Moore (Dallas): The attacking full back has been crucial running down the right side for the Texas side this season. He has been a threat with the ball creating 16 chances, while also able to register three goals for his efforts. He has been one the best performing full backs this season, being able contribute valuably both offensively and defensively.
Referee: TBC
Broadcast Details:
UK/US: Apple TV at 01:30 BST.
Stadium Information: Located in Missouri, Energizer Park, previously CityPark offers a welcoming atmosphere to American soccer. The venue can hold up to just over 22,000 spectators.
St Louis City 3-2 FC Dallas
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