Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Alfreton Town host Spennymoor Town in an intriguing England National League North clash on 11 November 2025, kicking off at 19:45 GMT. This midweek fixture at the Impact Arena brings together two sides with contrasting attacking patterns, and Football Park’s data-driven model gives a slight edge to the visitors based on recent form and head-to-head metrics.

Using the same analytical approach showcased in San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, our algorithm projects a match leaning toward an away win, with Spennymoor’s probability advantage supported by superior finishing metrics and tactical balance.

Key Betting Tip: Spennymoor Town to Win @ 2.05 – The Football Park algorithm ranks this as a strong value play, given their 40% win likelihood and consistent success in this fixture.

Match Details

Competition: England National League North Date: 11 November 2025 Kick-off: 19:45 GMT Venue: Impact Arena, Alfreton

Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town Predictions

The Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town predictions algorithm points towards a competitive but narrow win for the visitors. Spennymoor enter the fixture with a 40% probability of victory, outpacing Alfreton’s 33.3%, while the draw holds a 26.7% chance.

Home Win Probability: 33.30%

Draw Probability: 26.70%

Away Win Probability: 40.00%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 50.00%

Expected Match Goals: 2.30

Correct Score Prediction: 1-2

Half-Time/Full-Time Prediction: Draw/Away

Football Park’s algorithm anticipates a cautious first half (46.7% probability of a draw at half-time), followed by Spennymoor asserting dominance after the interval.

Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town Timeline

The Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town timeline highlights a rivalry marked by balanced contests and slim margins, though recent history favours the away side. Spennymoor have emerged victorious in three of the last five meetings, consistently managing to edge out tight scorelines.

Previous Meetings:

07 Dec 2024 // Alfreton Town 0-1 Spennymoor Town

22 Oct 2024 // Alfreton Town 0-1 Spennymoor Town

12 Oct 2024 // Alfreton Town 1-0 Spennymoor Town

13 Apr 2024 // Alfreton Town 2-1 Spennymoor Town

28 Mar 2023 // Alfreton Town 3-2 Spennymoor Town

29 Jan 2022 // Alfreton Town 3-2 Spennymoor Town

Spennymoor’s recent 1-0 wins underline their tactical discipline away from home, while Alfreton’s occasional victories at the Impact Arena often hinge on early scoring opportunities.

Best Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town Betting Tips

Football Park’s betting model has identified two standout selections offering strong data-backed value for this National League North encounter.

1. Spennymoor Town to Win @ 2.05

The model ranks this as the top Football Park selection, projecting a 40% win probability for the visitors. Despite Alfreton’s traditionally strong home record, Spennymoor’s superior organisation and efficiency in low-margin fixtures give them the edge.

The Half-Time/Full-Time prediction (Draw/Away) also supports this outcome, aligning with Spennymoor’s trend of building control as the match progresses.

2. Both Teams to Score @ 1.80

With a 50% BTTS probability, this market carries measured value in a fixture historically shaped by attacking exchanges. The last six head-to-heads at Alfreton have produced goals for both teams in four matches, including multiple 3-2 scorelines.

Football Park’s Expected Goals data also suggests both sides will find the net, with Alfreton forecasted to score 1.00 and Spennymoor 1.30, supporting the BTTS selection.

Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town Lineups Insight

Confirmed Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town lineups will be released closer to kick-off. However, Football Park’s tactical model predicts both sides will adopt structured approaches — Alfreton likely focusing on compact defence and counter-attacking opportunities, while Spennymoor seek to exploit open spaces down the flanks.

A 67% probability of Over 0.5 First Half Goals indicates an active start, while the 33% Over 1.5 First Half Goals chance implies gradual tempo escalation as the match develops.

Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town Matches – Tactical Breakdown

From a tactical perspective, the Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town matches history points toward fine margins decided by efficiency in both boxes. Football Park’s model estimates 2.3 total goals on average, underlining a controlled yet open game profile.

Spennymoor’s higher Expected Away Goals (1.3) rating reflects their cutting edge in transitional play, while Alfreton’s direct approach gives them the potential to trouble defences early. Yet, the model leans toward Spennymoor converting their chances more effectively over 90 minutes.

The correct score prediction of 1-2 mirrors previous trends, with the Football Park algorithm emphasising late-game goals from the visitors as a recurring theme.

Match Facts

Referee: To be confirmed by the National League Broadcast Details:

UK: National League TV (live stream)

Global: Selected bookmaker streaming services

Venue Insight: The Impact Arena often plays host to competitive fixtures with a narrow goal margin, but recent data shows an increase in total goals when Alfreton face top-half opposition — aligning with the algorithm’s Over 2.5 Goals probability of 25%.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.

Every preview is powered by our proprietary statistical model, which evaluates over 200 data points per fixture, including form trends, tactical performance, and historical match outcomes.

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