National League North
Home Win
Bedford Town 3 - 2 Oxford City
Who will win?
1
Bedford Town
x
Draw
2
Oxford City
Match Date: Tuesday, 21 October 2025 Kick-off: 19:45 GMT Competition: England National League North
An exciting encounter awaits at The Eyrie Stadium as Bedford Town host Oxford City in a fixture expected to deliver goals and attacking football. Football Park’s model gives Bedford Town a 50% chance of victory, while Oxford City sit at 20%, indicating a strong home advantage for the hosts.
The data model anticipates 3.4 total goals and a remarkable 88% probability of both teams scoring, signalling a wide-open contest likely filled with chances at both ends.
Football Park’s data-powered simulation engine — factoring in over 200 in-game metrics like xG, passing efficiency, and defensive duels — forecasts the following probabilities:
Home Win Probability: 50.00%
Away Win Probability: 20.00%
Draw Probability: 30.00%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 88.00%
Expected Match Goals: 3.40
The most likely result from 10,000 simulations is a 3-2 home win for Bedford Town, reflecting their superior attacking strength and home consistency.
Bedford Town to Win @ 2.20
Bedford Town’s attacking efficiency has been excellent at home, with the model favouring them at 50% win probability. They’ve been clinical in front of goal, averaging nearly 2 goals per home game, and come into this match in strong form.
Oxford City’s defensive instability away from home adds further value to this selection. Recommended Bet: Bedford Town to Win @ 2.20
Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 1.80
With 3.4 expected match goals and a massive 88% BTTS probability, this market offers outstanding value. Both sides thrive in transition-heavy play, often prioritising attack over defensive organisation.
Expect an end-to-end fixture with plenty of scoring opportunities — a hallmark of both teams’ recent performances. Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 1.80
Over 0.5 Match Goals: 100% probability
Over 1.5 Match Goals: 93.3% probability
Over 2.5 Match Goals: 80% probability
Over 3.5 Match Goals: 40% probability
Both Teams to Score: 88% probability
Correct Score Prediction: 3-2 Bedford Town
The underlying data highlights an attacking spectacle, with both teams expected to produce multiple high-quality scoring chances.
This fixture promises to be one of the more entertaining clashes of the round. Bedford Town’s home advantage and superior attacking form make them slight favourites, while Oxford City’s forward threat ensures the goals market remains a strong betting angle.
Predicted outcome: Bedford Town 3-2 Oxford City Most valuable markets: Bedford Town to Win and Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS
All Football Park predictions are built from statistical models — not guarantees. Always bet responsibly, set limits, and avoid wagering more than you can afford to lose.
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