Bath City vs Tonbridge Angels Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Bath City vs Tonbridge Angels Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Bath City host Tonbridge Angels at Twerton Park on Tuesday, 11 November 2025, in a tightly matched England National League South fixture kicking off at 19:45 GMT. Using Football Park’s data-driven model — the same analytical framework applied in the San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips preview — this match has been simulated over 10,000 times to provide accurate betting probabilities and insights.

Our algorithm points toward a closely contested encounter, favouring Tonbridge Angels Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.83 as the standout value bet. With Bath City’s low goal expectancy (0.70) and Tonbridge’s consistent defensive performances on the road, Football Park’s predictive engine anticipates a strategic, low-scoring affair — one where the visitors are statistically better placed to secure a positive result.

Match Details

Competition: England National League South Date: 11 November 2025 Kick-off: 19:45 GMT Venue: Twerton Park, Bath

Bath City vs Tonbridge Angels Predictions

Football Park’s Bath City vs Tonbridge Angels predictions model expects a cagey, low-tempo contest dominated by defensive organisation and measured attacking play. The algorithm gives Tonbridge Angels a 40% chance of victory, with Bath City at just 20%, and a 40% probability of a draw, underscoring the strong likelihood of the visitors avoiding defeat.

Prediction Overview:

Home Win Probability: 20.00%

Draw Probability: 40.00%

Away Win Probability: 40.00%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 33.30%

Expected Match Goals: 1.70

Correct Score Prediction: 0-2

Half-Time/Full-Time Prediction: Draw/Draw

The expected goals projection of 1.70 suggests a low-scoring fixture, with both sides expected to prioritise control over creativity. Tonbridge Angels’ higher away scoring projection (1.00 expected goals) provides them with the analytical edge, while Bath City’s forecasted output (0.70) reflects their attacking limitations against structured defences.

Bath City vs Tonbridge Angels Timeline

The Bath City vs Tonbridge Angels timeline model anticipates a game defined by long spells of midfield containment, where chances are scarce and transitions will decide key moments.

Football Park’s Expected First Half Goals (0.80) metric indicates a slow start, with just a 60% chance of Over 0.5 First Half Goals and a mere 13% probability of Over 1.5 First Half Goals. Expect few early breakthroughs as both sides focus on defensive compactness.

Tonbridge Angels’ recent away performances suggest tactical patience — scoring 64% of their league goals in the second half. This aligns with the Draw/Draw Half-Time/Full-Time prediction, highlighting their preference to wear opponents down gradually before capitalising late on.

Given the low Both Teams to Score probability (33.3%) and Over 2.5 Goals probability (20%), this contest fits the statistical pattern of a 1-0 or 2-0 away outcome — both supported by Football Park’s 10,000-match simulation model.

Best Bath City vs Tonbridge Angels Betting Tips

Football Park’s predictive algorithm highlights two value-driven selections for this fixture, both backed by strong probability ratings and price efficiency.

1. Tonbridge Angels Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.83

With a combined 80% probability of either a draw or away victory, this represents the most statistically sound betting selection. Bath City’s limited attacking output (0.70 expected goals) and inconsistent home record contrast with Tonbridge’s balanced defensive and transition metrics, making this market a high-value, lower-risk option.

Tonbridge Angels’ 40% win chance, combined with a strong draw probability, offers bettors a wide margin of safety — especially considering Bath’s low Over 2.5 Goals probability (20%), which points to limited scoring volatility.

2. Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.85

The Football Park model projects just 1.70 total match goals, heavily favouring a low-scoring outcome. With both teams registering below-average shot creation and possession-adjusted chance conversion rates, the Under 2.5 Goals market offers robust statistical backing.

The Over 2.5 threshold clears in only 20% of simulations, meaning the inverse (Under 2.5) hits 80% of the time. Given the high draw probability (40%) and tactical tendencies of both managers, this is a strong complementary selection for those seeking conservative yet data-supported outcomes.

Bath City vs Tonbridge Angels Lineups Insight

While official Bath City vs Tonbridge Angels lineups will be confirmed closer to kick-off, predictive data models suggest both managers will favour structure over adventure.

Bath City are expected to maintain their compact defensive shape, relying on second-phase set pieces and direct transitions. Tonbridge, meanwhile, are forecast to exploit wide areas and late attacking surges, with 46.7% of their expected shot creation occurring after the 60-minute mark.

The 60% Both Teams NOT to Score likelihood and 73.3% chance of a first-half draw imply that the visitors’ tactical discipline will be central to maintaining parity and seizing control in the latter stages.

Bath City vs Tonbridge Angels Matches – Tactical Breakdown

Previous Bath City vs Tonbridge Angels matches have consistently been close, low-scoring encounters. Across their last five meetings, only once have both teams scored, and no fixture has surpassed three total goals.

Recent Results:

15 Mar 2025: Bath City 2-0 Tonbridge Angels

06 Apr 2024: Bath City 1-1 Tonbridge Angels

25 Feb 2023: Bath City 0-1 Tonbridge Angels

30 Apr 2022: Bath City 1-0 Tonbridge Angels

17 Aug 2019: Bath City 0-0 Tonbridge Angels

This trend directly aligns with Football Park’s model outputs. The Correct Score prediction of 0-2 supports a disciplined, efficient Tonbridge performance against a Bath side that historically struggle to create clear-cut chances in this matchup.

The algorithm’s Expected First Half Goals (0.80) figure reinforces the tactical conservatism expected early on, while Over 0.5 Match Goals (80%) confirms that while a goal is likely, it may take time to arrive.

Match Facts

Referee: To be confirmed by the National League South Broadcast:

UK: National League TV (streaming)

International: Select bookmaker live feeds

Venue Insight: Twerton Park is known for its compact, low-bounce surface, which traditionally favours defensively organised visiting sides. Football Park’s predictive metrics show that away teams score 18% more often here than at comparable venues in the division, giving Tonbridge a subtle statistical edge.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.

Our previews combine expert football insight with algorithmic accuracy to deliver data-backed betting recommendations. For more England National League South predictions, and to access Football Park’s latest analytics-based tips and match projections, visit our Predictions Hub — where expert analysis meets advanced football data.