Dover vs Dorking Wanderers Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Dover vs Dorking Wanderers Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Date: Tuesday, 21 October 2025 Kick-off: 19:45 GMT Competition: England National League South

Match Overview

A fascinating encounter is expected at Crabble Athletic Ground as Dover host Dorking Wanderers in a fixture that promises goals and fine margins. Football Park’s algorithm rates Dover with a 30% chance of victory, but their 50% draw probability highlights how balanced this game could be.

Both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities throughout the season. With an expected 2.8 total goals and 84% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open and entertaining contest that may end level.

Football Park Algorithm Predictions

Football Park’s predictive model — built using over 200 metrics including shot creation, xG, and possession turnover rates — forecasts the following probabilities:

Home Win Probability: 30.00%

Away Win Probability: 20.00%

Draw Probability: 50.00%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 84.00%

Expected Match Goals: 2.80

The simulation’s most likely result is a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net in a game shaped by counterattacks and late chances.

Key Betting Tips

Dover Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.67

Despite being underdogs, Dover’s home resilience gives them an edge in this matchup. Football Park’s model assigns a 70% likelihood of the hosts avoiding defeat, particularly given Dorking’s inconsistent away form.

With Dorking struggling to maintain clean sheets on the road, Dover’s direct attacking play and set-piece threat could earn them at least a point. Recommended Bet: Dover Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.67

Both Teams to Score – Yes @ 1.62

With an 84% BTTS probability, this market carries strong statistical value. Both sides have scored in eight of Dover’s last nine matches and seven of Dorking’s last ten, making goals at both ends highly probable.

Expect a back-and-forth game where both teams’ attacking quality outweighs their defensive solidity. Recommended Bet: Both Teams to Score – Yes @ 1.62

Statistical Breakdown – Dover vs Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Over 0.5 Match Goals: 100% probability

Over 1.5 Match Goals: 93.3% probability

Over 2.5 Match Goals: 53.3% probability

Over 3.5 Match Goals: 26.7% probability

Both Teams to Score: 84% probability

Correct Score Prediction: 1-1

With high BTTS likelihood and moderate over goals projections, the data points toward a competitive but evenly matched affair.

Betting Outlook

Expect a fast-paced, open game at Crabble, where both sides will see chances. Dover’s home advantage and Dorking’s attacking approach could produce a lively draw — a fair reflection of their respective forms and underlying data.

Predicted outcome: Dover 1-1 Dorking Wanderers Most valuable markets: Dover Double Chance and Both Teams to Score

Responsible Gambling Message

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