National League South
Draw
Maidenhead 2 - 1 Eastbourne Borough
Who will win?
1
Maidenhead
x
Draw
2
Eastbourne Borough
Match Date: Tuesday, 21 October 2025 Kick-off: 19:45 GMT Competition: National League South
Two evenly matched mid-table teams meet at the Gallagher Stadium, with both aiming to build momentum in the league.
Football Park’s prediction model rates this matchup as extremely balanced, giving Maidstone a 36.7% win probability and Eastbourne a 35.0% chance. The data suggests a low-scoring, tactical contest — the expected match goals (1.9) and Both Teams to Score probability (34%) point toward a cautious game decided by fine margins.
Based on xG metrics, form data, and historical head-to-heads:
Home Win Probability: 36.70%
Away Win Probability: 35.00%
Draw Probability: 28.30%
Expected Match Goals: 1.90
Both Teams to Score Probability: 34.20%
The model’s most likely scoreline is 1-1, aligning with both teams’ consistent defensive setups.
Both teams rank among the league’s more defensively structured sides. With just 1.9 expected goals predicted, this game could easily mirror their previous low-scoring encounters.
Four of the last five meetings have produced Under 2.5 Goals, including a goalless draw and two 2-0 results. Recommended Bet: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.62
The data points to an evenly contested affair. With both sides around the 35% win probability mark, and Maidstone often struggling to break down compact teams at home, the draw market holds solid value.
Recommended Bet: Match Result – Draw @ 3.20
Given the expected goals profile and balanced stats, a 1-1 draw is the most probable outcome. Both sides are averaging roughly one goal per match while conceding around the same. Value Bet: Correct Score 1-1 @ ~6.50
26 Nov 2024: Maidstone Utd 3-1 Eastbourne Borough
07 Nov 2023: Maidstone Utd 2-0 Eastbourne Borough
09 Oct 2021: Maidstone Utd 0-2 Eastbourne Borough
13 Aug 2019: Maidstone Utd 0-0 Eastbourne Borough
Maidstone have the upper hand recently, with two consecutive home wins, though both teams have kept clean sheets in multiple recent meetings — underlining the low-scoring trend.
Over 0.5 Match Goals: 73.8%
Over 1.5 Match Goals: 58.8%
Over 2.5 Match Goals: 31.3%
Both Teams to Score: 34.2%
Correct Score Prediction: 1-1
With cautious approaches expected from both sides, fans should anticipate a tight, low-tempo contest.
Expect a hard-fought fixture likely decided by set pieces or a single mistake. Neither team looks likely to dominate, and both may settle for a point.
Predicted outcome: Maidstone Utd 1-1 Eastbourne Borough Most valuable markets: Under 2.5 Goals, Draw, Correct Score 1-1
All Football Park predictions are based on statistical models and probability analysis — not guaranteed results. Always gamble responsibly, set personal limits, and treat betting as entertainment only.
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