Home Win
Boreham Wood 1 - 2 Braintree
Who will win?
1
Boreham Wood
x
Draw
2
Braintree
The England National League returns on Wednesday, 20 August 2025, as Boreham Wood host Braintree at Meadow Park, with kick-off scheduled for 19:45 GMT. This is a fixture with plenty of intrigue, given the fine margins between these two sides and their contrasting recent history in head-to-head encounters.
Our Football Park predictive model, which analyses over 200 data points including recent form, tactical setups, and historical trends, suggests a narrow advantage for Braintree (44.3% win probability) over Boreham Wood (38%), with the draw priced at a lower likelihood of 17.7%. The algorithm leans towards a 1-2 away victory, though this clash looks finely balanced and could easily swing either way.
Key Betting Tip: Backing Braintree to win at odds of 3.00 presents strong value, supported by our model’s confidence. A second high-value angle is Over 1.5 Goals at 1.33, which has an 83.3% likelihood of landing.
The data highlights a close matchup, but with a subtle edge in Braintree’s favour. Boreham Wood may look to utilise home advantage, but their expected goal output sits at just 1.0, compared to Braintree’s 1.2. That slight superiority could prove decisive.
Home Win Probability: 38.00%
Away Win Probability: 44.30%
Draw Probability: 17.70%
Most Likely Correct Score: 1-2
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 83.30%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 45.60%
Braintree to Win @ 3.00 – The visitors have a greater win probability and represent standout value.
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 – Strong statistical backing with more than 8 in 10 simulations projecting at least two goals.
Historically, matches between these two sides have been low-scoring, tight contests. Their last three meetings produced just four goals in total:
01 Sep 2018: Boreham Wood 1-1 Braintree
20 Dec 2016: Boreham Wood 0-1 Braintree
26 Dec 2015: Boreham Wood 1-0 Braintree
The predictive model expects a slight deviation from this trend, pointing to more goals in this edition — with 2.1 expected match goals and a projected 1-2 scoreline in Braintree’s favour.
The record suggests little between the clubs historically: one win apiece and one draw in the last three meetings. Importantly, no side has scored more than once in any of those games — a trend our model forecasts could be broken this time, with Braintree expected to net at least twice.
First Half Outlook
The model predicts a relatively even first half:
HT Home Win: 35.7%
HT Away Win: 26.7%
HT Draw: 37.7%
This hints at a potential stalemate before Braintree assert themselves in the second period, reflected in the Draw/Away half-time/full-time pattern.
Goals Market
Over 0.5 Match Goals: 100% likelihood
Over 1.5 Match Goals: 83.3%
Over 2.5 Match Goals: Just 30%
This shows bettors can confidently expect goals, but not necessarily a high-scoring contest. The 1-2 correct scoreline aligns perfectly with this data.
After evaluating all predictive metrics, Football Park recommends two value-backed bets:
Braintree to Win @ 3.00 – A price that offers substantial value given their statistical edge.
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 – Backed by the model’s 83% confidence rating, this looks a reliable supporting play.
These selections align with Football Park’s proven data-driven methodology, targeting betting markets with both value and high probability.
Predictions are made using advanced data analytics, but football always carries uncertainty. We advise staking responsibly and only wagering what you can afford to lose.
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