Home Win
Brackley Town 2 - 1 Wealdstone
Who will win?
1
Brackley Town
x
Draw
2
Wealdstone
Brackley host Wealdstone at St. James Park on Wednesday, 1 October 2025 (19:45 GMT) in the National League. The Saints hold a commanding 73.3% win probability, with the model projecting a 2-0 home win. With Wealdstone averaging just 0.7 expected goals, Brackley’s defensive strength should see them through comfortably.
Date: 1 October 2025
Kick-Off: 19:45 GMT
Competition: England National League
Venue: St. James Park, Brackley – a compact 3,500-seater ground with a strong home atmosphere.
Referee: TBC
UK: National League TV (streaming)
International: Bet365 streaming (selected regions)
Home Win Probability: 73.3%
Away Win Probability: 13.3%
Draw Probability: 13.3%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-0
Both Teams to Score Probability: 53.3%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 25.0%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Home
Brackley Town to Win @ 1.85 – With home dominance and stronger xG, Brackley look well set.
Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.80 – Only 1.9 expected match goals, making a low-scoring Brackley victory very likely.
Expected Match Goals: 1.90
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 100%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 40%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 25%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 5%
First Half Goals Projection: 0.53 (only 27% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Brackley Town Win @ 1.85
Best Bet 2: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.80
The model points to a tight contest where Brackley’s superior home record and defensive edge should see them through. A 2-0 correct score reflects both the low goal projection and Brackley’s efficiency at home.
At Football Park, we highlight statistical value, but football can always surprise. National League games are notoriously unpredictable. Always stake responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.
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