Draw
Braintree 1 - 1 York
Who will win?
1
Braintree
x
Draw
2
York
Braintree host York at Cressing Road on 22 March 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 15:00 GMT in the National League. Both clubs arrive with similar data-driven win probabilities, setting up what promises to be one of the weekend’s most finely balanced fixtures.
At Football Park, our algorithm-based analysis brings sharper betting value to readers. For this clash, our predictive model assigns a 31.3% chance of a Braintree win, 37.7% for York, and a 31.0% likelihood of a draw. With the algorithm forecasting 1.9 total goals and the most probable scoreline set at 1-1, bettors can expect a tense, low-scoring contest.
This preview covers the Braintree vs York timeline of previous matches, full algorithm projections, and our two top-rated betting tips.
Looking at the Braintree vs York matches across recent decades, head-to-head results point to a historically balanced rivalry, with low-scoring games dominating the pattern:
These meetings underline how tight the margins are, with just one goal often deciding the outcome.
Football Park’s algorithm projects a low-scoring encounter with York carrying a slight edge, though the draw probability remains significant:
Home Win Probability: 31.3%
Draw Probability: 31.0%
Away Win Probability: 37.7%
Most Likely Correct Score: 1-1
Expected Match Goals: 1.90
Both Teams to Score Probability: 34.5%
Half-time data suggests a cautious start, with a 55.7% probability of a draw at the interval. The model’s most likely scenario is a Draw/Away half-time/full-time outcome, highlighting York’s potential to edge it late.
From our algorithm’s top-rated percentage outcomes, Football Park’s recommended plays are:
Best Bet 1: Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.85 – With only a 33.3% chance of over 2.5 goals, the data heavily supports a cagey, low-scoring encounter.
Best Bet 2: Half-Time Draw @ 2.00 – Given the 55.7% probability of a level score at the break, this represents strong value for bettors seeking a probability-backed market.
Together, these Braintree vs York predictions reflect the model’s confidence in a tight, tactical fixture with limited goalmouth action.
Projected Correct Score: 1-1
Over 1.5 Match Goals Probability: 61.8%
Over 2.5 Match Goals Probability: 33.3%
Over 3.5 Match Goals Probability: 5%
First-Half Goals: 56% chance of at least one before half-time
Both Teams to Score Probability: 34.5%
Referee: Appointment to be confirmed. Previous fixtures between these sides have been closely fought with relatively few goals, suggesting disciplined defensive setups.
Broadcast Information:
UK: National League TV (streaming service)
International: Regional and club broadcast partners
Stadium Insight: Cressing Road is one of the more compact grounds in the National League, often favouring organised and resilient sides. That atmosphere could play into Braintree’s strategy of frustrating opponents before hitting on the counter.
Football Park’s algorithm projects a low-scoring draw as the most probable outcome, with York carrying a slight edge in win probability. A 1-1 scoreline is the most likely result, supported by the statistical model.
Our two data-backed recommendations are:
Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.85
Half-Time Draw @ 2.00
Both plays are supported by strong percentage probabilities and align with the tactical profile of this fixture. Bettors should expect a game defined by caution, discipline, and small margins.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.
Contact Sales