BTTS Yes
Carlisle 2 - 1 Truro City
Who will win?
1
Carlisle
x
Draw
2
Truro City
Carlisle welcome newly-promoted Truro City to Brunton Park on Saturday, 6 September 2025 (15:00 GMT) in the England National League. Football Park’s algorithm favours the hosts heavily with a 50% win probability, while Truro carry only a 10% chance of victory. A draw remains a possibility at 40%, highlighting Carlisle’s strength but also Truro’s resilience.
The model projects 2.6 expected goals, leaning towards a 2-1 home win, with Both Teams to Score hitting at 60% probability. With Carlisle expected to find the net multiple times and Truro still carrying attacking threat, goal markets provide the strongest betting value.
Date: 6 September 2025
Kick-Off: 15:00 GMT
Competition: England National League
Venue: Brunton Park, Carlisle – One of the largest stadiums in non-league football with a capacity over 17,000, offering Carlisle a strong home advantage.
Referee: TBC
UK: National League TV streaming
Europe: Selected bookmakers’ live streaming services
Home Win Probability: 50%
Away Win Probability: 10%
Draw Probability: 40%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-1
Both Teams to Score Probability: 60%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 46.7%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Home/Home
Both Teams to Score @ 1.95 – With 60% probability and Truro’s attacking record, BTTS looks strong.
Correct Score 2-1 @ 8.50 (average market) – The model’s most likely outcome, reflecting Carlisle’s superiority but conceding once.
Expected Match Goals: 2.60
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 93.3%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 73.3%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 46.7%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 40%
First Half Goals Projection: 1.10 (60% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Both Teams to Score @ 1.95
Best Bet 2: Correct Score 2-1 @ 8.50
Carlisle are strong favourites, but the model expects Truro to create chances. A 2-1 home win matches both the probabilities and the market value, with BTTS as the standout bet.
Football Park predictions are built on advanced algorithmic analysis. While probabilities highlight value, football remains unpredictable. Always gamble responsibly.
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