Home Win
Forest Green 2 - 0 Hartlepool
Who will win?
1
Forest Green
x
Draw
2
Hartlepool
Forest Green welcome Hartlepool to The New Lawn on Saturday, 6 September 2025 (15:00 GMT) in the England National League. Football Park’s algorithm strongly favours the home side with a 56.7% chance of victory, compared to just 13.3% for Hartlepool. A cagey affair is expected, with limited goal output pointing towards a likely 2-0 home win.
The model projects 2.3 expected goals, with Forest Green more consistent in front of goal and Hartlepool struggling to convert away from home. Both Teams to Score sits at only 41.7%, suggesting Hartlepool could well fire blanks in this encounter.
Date: 6 September 2025
Kick-Off: 15:00 GMT
Competition: England National League
Venue: The New Lawn, Nailsworth – An eco-friendly stadium with a capacity of 5,147, famed for its sustainability initiatives and unique atmosphere.
Referee: TBC
UK: National League TV streaming
Europe: Selected bookmakers’ live streaming services
Home Win Probability: 56.7%
Away Win Probability: 13.3%
Draw Probability: 30%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-0
Both Teams to Score Probability: 41.7%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Home
Forest Green to Win @ 1.73 – Strongest probability edge, with the model backing the hosts to control the game.
Correct Score 2-0 @ 9.00 (average market) – Aligns with the algorithm’s most likely outcome, offering value at longer odds.
28 Sep 2024: Forest Green 1-0 Hartlepool
09 Apr 2022: Forest Green 1-1 Hartlepool
Forest Green are unbeaten in the last two meetings at home, keeping Hartlepool to just one goal across those fixtures.
Expected Match Goals: 2.30
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 95%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 25%
First Half Goals Projection: 0.93 (47% chance of a first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Forest Green to Win @ 1.73
Best Bet 2: Correct Score 2-0 @ 9.00
The data shows Forest Green hold both the form and statistical edge, with Hartlepool’s limited attacking output away from home a major concern. A controlled home win to nil looks the value play.
Football Park predictions are generated through advanced algorithmic analysis. While probabilities highlight betting value, football remains unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
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