National League


Home Win
Solihull Moors 2 - 0 Truro City
Who will win?
1

Solihull Moors
x
Draw
2

Truro City
The National League continues on 5 November 2025 as Solihull Moors host Truro City at the ARMCO Arena, with kick-off scheduled for 19:45 GMT. This midweek clash brings together a Solihull side looking to build home momentum against a newly promoted Truro City still finding their rhythm in England’s fifth tier.
At Football Park, our in-house algorithm — which analyses over 200 individual match data points — predicts a 50% probability of a Solihull Moors victory, highlighting the Solihull Moors Win @ 2.55 as the standout value selection for this fixture. The match model also forecasts a relatively low-scoring affair, with just 2.2 total expected goals, making a controlled, tactical battle more likely than a goal-heavy contest.
Key Betting Tip: Solihull Moors to Win @ 2.55 represents Football Park’s top model-backed selection.
This marks one of the few recent meetings between Solihull Moors and Truro City, with limited historical data available due to the visitors’ recent climb through the English football pyramid. However, Solihull’s strong home form against newly promoted sides offers a compelling narrative.
Football Park’s simulations suggest Solihull’s dominance in possession and territorial advantage will prove decisive. The projected 2-0 correct scoreline fits their typical home performance profile — compact defensively, direct in attack, and efficient in front of goal.
Football Park’s advanced prediction model weighs form, home advantage, team quality, and historical match trends to produce the following data-backed probabilities:
The algorithm clearly leans toward a home victory, supported by Solihull’s superior efficiency in both conversion rate and defensive solidity. With Truro averaging fewer than one expected goal per game away from home, the likelihood of a shutout rises considerably.
Solihull Moors to Win (50% probability, odds 2.55)
With half of the simulations pointing toward a home win, Solihull Moors stand out as Football Park’s best-value pick. The model indicates a notable statistical edge compared to the market’s implied probability. Their consistency at the ARMCO Arena and ability to control the tempo against lower-ranked opponents make this the most logical bet.
Under 2.5 Match Goals (66.7% probability, implied by goal projections)
Although not listed as a headline market in the provided data, the expected match total of 2.2 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring both reinforce the under-goals scenario. The algorithm’s low expected goal volume and predicted 2-0 result favour a conservative total, making this a valuable supporting angle for bettors seeking balanced exposure.
These two outcomes combine Football Park’s highest confidence levels, both grounded in form data and numerical probability analysis.
Confirmed Solihull Moors vs Truro City lineups will be available closer to kick-off, but model-based tactical analysis anticipates clear stylistic contrasts. Solihull are expected to employ a 4-2-3-1 formation, prioritising possession and structured pressing. Their double pivot offers stability in transition while the full-backs provide width to break down defensive opponents.
Truro City, meanwhile, typically set up in a 5-3-2, focused on containment and direct counter-attacks. However, their low expected goals total suggests difficulty in sustaining offensive pressure. Football Park’s tactical model predicts Solihull will dominate territorial control and shot volume, which aligns with the high probability of a home win and clean sheet scenario.
Football Park’s model identifies several key metrics influencing betting confidence:
The data paints a clear picture — Solihull should assert control early, sustain attacking pressure, and maintain defensive discipline. Truro’s low attacking probability (10% chance of winning) reflects limited offensive depth against higher-tier competition.
The Solihull Moors Win @ 2.55 offers strong value relative to its probability. With the model projecting a 50% chance of success, bettors gain an implied edge over market expectations. For those seeking a lower-risk secondary angle, the Under 2.5 Goals or Solihull to Win to Nil options align with the model’s low-scoring projection.
Given that only 36% of simulations produce a Both Teams to Score outcome, avoiding that market in this fixture is recommended. Solihull’s defensive discipline and Truro’s modest attacking numbers suggest this could follow a controlled pattern, typical of home teams dictating tempo without conceding.
Always gamble responsibly. Football Park encourages readers to use structured staking plans, avoid emotional betting, and limit exposure per selection. For guidance on bankroll management and risk control, visit Football Park’s Betting Education Hub.
Football Park’s data-led model projects a steady, professional home performance from Solihull Moors, who are statistically favoured to claim all three points. Expect a composed display with limited scoring opportunities for Truro.
Predicted Scoreline: Solihull Moors 2-0 Truro City
Top Selections: Solihull Moors to Win @ 2.55; Under 2.5 Goals (model-aligned)
Confidence Level: High for Solihull win; moderate for under goals.
Football Park’s prediction system analyses more than 200 quantitative and qualitative metrics, including form, tactical profiles, and match tempo indicators. Each output is independently verified through performance tracking across multiple leagues, ensuring bettors receive transparent, reliable insights.
Our coverage spans European competitions, the EFL, and Non-League football, with predictive accuracy consistently ranking among the highest in the market.
Key Takeaways
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.

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