National League


Home Win
Woking 1 - 1 Southend
Who will win?
1

Woking
x
Draw
2

Southend
The England National League returns with an intriguing midweek clash as Woking host Southend United on 5 November 2025, kicking off at 19:45 GMT at The Laithwaite Community Stadium. With both sides evenly matched in terms of underlying data, Football Park’s advanced prediction model anticipates a tightly contested fixture defined by defensive resilience and fine margins.
According to Football Park’s algorithm — built on over 200 statistical performance indicators — the model assigns Woking a 46.7% probability of avoiding defeat, making Woking Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.91 the standout betting value. Additionally, with a 63.3% likelihood of Both Teams to Score, the BTTS @ 1.80 market also presents strong data-backed potential. Recent meetings between the sides have been low-scoring but competitive, suggesting another balanced encounter could unfold under the Surrey floodlights.
Key Betting Tip: Woking Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.91 – Supported by Football Park’s 46.7% draw probability and 33.3% home win projection.
The Woking vs Southend timeline tells a story of close battles and shared dominance, with draws and narrow margins defining this fixture. Their last five meetings have been evenly split, underscoring the fine balance between these sides:
Across their last five encounters, both teams have scored in three of those games, aligning perfectly with Football Park’s 63.3% BTTS projection. Southend have proven slightly more clinical historically, but Woking’s strong home performances against top-half opposition suggest they remain capable of matching the visitors stride-for-stride.
Football Park’s predictive algorithm evaluates team form, tactical approach, recent match data, and head-to-head performance to build its forecast. For this fixture, the data distribution reflects remarkable parity:
This statistical spread highlights an evenly poised match where Woking’s home resilience neutralises Southend’s possession-based approach. The most probable outcome, according to the model, is a 1–1 draw, supported by the 53.3% probability of a half-time stalemate.
Woking Double Chance (Win or Draw) – 79% Model Confidence @ 1.91
Football Park’s analysis identifies this as the best-value, low-risk selection. With a combined 73% probability of Woking either winning or sharing points, the Double Chance market is underpriced relative to historical data. The hosts have drawn or won four of their last six home games in this fixture, and with Southend’s away scoring average below 1.3 goals, the statistical advantage favours the home side avoiding defeat.
Both Teams to Score – 63.3% Model Confidence @ 1.80
The algorithm assigns a strong likelihood of both teams finding the net, underpinned by consistent scoring patterns. Woking’s home fixtures average 2.4 goals per match, while Southend’s away matches feature BTTS in over 60% of their outings. This pick balances reliability and value, making it Football Park’s preferred secondary wager.
Confirmed Woking vs Southend lineups will be published closer to kick-off, but Football Park’s tactical model offers insight into each side’s likely approach.
Woking typically operate within a 4-4-2 structure, balancing disciplined defensive lines with targeted counter-attacks. Their ability to transition quickly through midfield and exploit wide areas has proven crucial in recent results. Football Park’s data identifies Woking’s home advantage as structural — they concede fewer than 1.2 goals on average when playing at The Laithwaite Community Stadium.
Southend, by contrast, lean towards a 4-2-3-1 system, prioritising ball retention and width. Their tendency to dominate possession often leaves them vulnerable to quick breaks, particularly against sides who sit compact and counter through direct forward play.
Football Park’s model projects that Southend will likely control possession, while Woking look to strike via direct transitional opportunities and set-piece phases.
The Football Park model anticipates a measured tempo throughout the opening stages, with both sides focused on maintaining structure. As the game progresses, attacking efficiency is expected to increase, particularly in the final 20 minutes. Given their recent history, a repeat of the 1–1 scoreline remains the most statistically sound projection.
For bettors seeking a statistically sound approach, Woking Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.91 represents the primary low-risk, high-value market. Football Park’s 46.7% draw projection coupled with Woking’s 33.3% win likelihood yields a solid 79% implied probability of success — a clear edge over bookmaker pricing.
Meanwhile, Both Teams to Score @ 1.80 offers excellent balance between risk and return. Both clubs possess consistent attacking metrics, and the expected match goal average of 2.4 fits neatly within the BTTS model parameters.
Combining these two selections in a structured accumulator offers complementary value, pairing low volatility (Double Chance) with moderate risk (BTTS).
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Football Park’s algorithm projects another competitive encounter between two defensively robust sides. Woking’s home strength and tactical compactness make them difficult to beat, while Southend’s technical play and attacking balance ensure chances at both ends.
Predicted Scoreline: Woking 1–1 Southend
Top Selections:
Woking Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.91
Both Teams to Score @ 1.80
Confidence Level: High for Double Chance; Moderate-to-High for BTTS.
At Football Park, every betting insight is powered by a proprietary algorithm analysing over 200 match metrics — from goal probabilities and tactical tempo to player availability and situational momentum. This ensures forecasts are objective, evidence-based, and designed for long-term betting efficiency.
Football Park’s coverage extends across European, South American, and Non-League football, providing bettors with data-led predictions and expert guidance.
Key Takeaways
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