York vs Boreham Wood Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

York vs Boreham Wood Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Date: Tuesday, 21 October 2025 Kick-off: 19:45 GMT Competition: England National League

Match Overview

Two mid-table sides looking to climb the National League standings meet as York host Boreham Wood at the LNER Community Stadium. Football Park’s model suggests a tight, high-scoring contest with Boreham Wood slightly favoured, holding a 40% win probability compared to York’s 20%.

The expected goals model projects 3.2 total goals, pointing towards an entertaining clash where attacking efficiency could decide the outcome. With both teams averaging over 1.5 goals scored per match, goals look likely — even if the result remains unpredictable.

Football Park Algorithm Predictions

Football Park’s advanced predictive model, analysing over 200 key data metrics (including xG, shot locations, and defensive duels), projects the following outcomes:

Home Win Probability: 20.00%

Away Win Probability: 40.00%

Draw Probability: 40.00%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 43.30%

Expected Match Goals: 3.20

The most likely result from the simulation is a 2-3 away win for Boreham Wood, with the visitors expected to create higher-quality chances throughout the match.

Key Betting Tips

Boreham Wood Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 2.10

Given Boreham Wood’s recent form and resilience away from home, backing them to avoid defeat offers solid value. The model gives them an 80% probability of securing at least a point, especially against a York side that has won just once in their last six at home.

Boreham Wood’s pressing structure and efficient transition play give them a clear tactical edge. Recommended Bet: Boreham Wood Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 2.10

Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65

The Football Park model projects 3.2 expected goals, suggesting a strong case for the over market. York’s defensive inconsistency (conceding in eight straight home fixtures) combined with Boreham Wood’s attacking intent supports a goal-heavy outcome.

With 63.3% probability for over 2.5 goals, the stats point to an open, end-to-end affair. Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65

Head-to-Head Timeline – York vs Boreham Wood Matches

09 Sep 2023: York 2-2 Boreham Wood

21 Feb 2023: York 1-1 Boreham Wood

13 Aug 2016: York 1-1 Boreham Wood

This fixture has a history of tight encounters — each of the last three meetings ended in draws, with both sides scoring in all of them.

Statistical Breakdown – York vs Boreham Wood Predictions

Over 0.5 Match Goals: 100% probability

Over 1.5 Match Goals: 90% probability

Over 2.5 Match Goals: 63.3% probability

Over 3.5 Match Goals: 53.3% probability

Both Teams to Score: 43.3% probability

Correct Score Prediction: 2-3 Boreham Wood

The algorithm suggests a lively match with momentum swings and multiple scoring opportunities, particularly in the second half.

Betting Outlook

Expect an open, entertaining game with plenty of attacking play from both sides. York’s home advantage could keep them competitive, but Boreham Wood’s greater balance and away resilience give them the statistical edge.

Predicted outcome: York 2-3 Boreham Wood Most valuable markets: Boreham Wood Double Chance and Over 2.5 Goals

Responsible Gambling Message

All Football Park predictions are built from statistical probabilities — not guarantees. Always bet responsibly: stick to your limits, avoid chasing losses, and enjoy wagering as a form of entertainment.

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