York vs Rochdale Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

York vs Rochdale Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

York City take on Rochdale at the LNER Community Stadium on 11 November 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 19:45 GMT in the England National League. This midweek fixture brings together two sides looking to build consistency in front of goal, with Football Park’s advanced algorithm pointing towards an away advantage for Rochdale.

Using the same data-driven model featured in San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, our analysis projects a competitive encounter, with a strong statistical lean towards a Rochdale Double Chance (Win or Draw) outcome and a likelihood of goals surpassing the 2.5 mark.

Key Betting Tip: Rochdale Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.83 offers excellent value based on Football Park’s predictive metrics, which rate the visitors’ unbeaten probability above 70%.

Match Details

Competition: England National League Date: 11 November 2025 Kick-off: 19:45 GMT Venue: LNER Community Stadium, York

York vs Rochdale Predictions

Football Park’s York vs Rochdale predictions model projects a competitive yet open fixture, with the data pointing towards a likely away result. The algorithm indicates Rochdale’s tactical edge and attacking efficiency could be decisive, particularly in transition play.

Home Win Probability: 28.30%

Draw Probability: 30.00%

Away Win Probability: 41.70%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 30.80%

Expected Match Goals: 2.40

Correct Score Prediction: 0-2

Half-Time/Full-Time Prediction: Draw/Away

While York have shown sporadic resilience at home, Rochdale’s superior control in key possession phases and higher probability of scoring in the second half make them a strong Double Chance selection.

York vs Rochdale Timeline

The York vs Rochdale timeline highlights a long-standing but low-scoring fixture history between these two sides. Rochdale have had the upper hand in recent encounters, demonstrating tactical organisation and efficient finishing — qualities reflected in the Football Park model’s forecast.

Previous Meetings:

20 Aug 2024 // York 1-0 Rochdale

28 Aug 2023 // York 1-3 Rochdale

30 Nov 2013 // York 0-0 Rochdale

12 Mar 2013 // York 0-0 Rochdale

Across these meetings, both teams have scored in just one of the last four fixtures, consistent with the model’s relatively low BTTS probability (30.8%). However, Rochdale’s ability to exploit defensive lapses on the road underlines their advantage in the Draw/Away outcome prediction.

Best York vs Rochdale Betting Tips

Football Park’s data-led projections have identified two statistically backed selections for this National League clash, combining high probability outcomes with market value.

1. Rochdale Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.83

With a combined 71.7% probability of avoiding defeat, Rochdale’s Double Chance selection ranks as the top Football Park recommendation. Their 41.7% win likelihood paired with a 30% draw probability reflects strong value for bettors seeking a safer outcome.

The Football Park model projects a Half-Time/Full-Time pattern of Draw/Away, mirroring Rochdale’s trend of growing into matches and capitalising late against teams with weaker second-half defensive records.

2. Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.70

Despite the low BTTS probability, the algorithm predicts an open game profile, with 61.3% likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals. Both sides have averaged above 2.3 total goals in recent fixtures, with York’s home matches and Rochdale’s away games trending over the total line this season.

A projected 1.25 first-half goals average further supports an early breakthrough, increasing the appeal of an Over 2.5 selection.

York vs Rochdale Lineups Insight

Confirmed York vs Rochdale lineups will be released closer to kick-off, but Football Park’s tactical data anticipates a compact defensive setup from York, while Rochdale are expected to employ a direct, possession-based approach.

With 77% probability of Over 0.5 First Half Goals, the match could start at a lively tempo, even if both teams struggle for control. Rochdale’s superior expected goals contribution (1.10 vs York’s 1.30) underscores their potential to edge crucial attacking moments.

The data model also indicates a Draw/Away Half-Time/Full-Time outcome, emphasising Rochdale’s late-match efficiency.

York vs Rochdale Matches – Tactical Breakdown

From a tactical standpoint, the Football Park algorithm projects a controlled performance from Rochdale, leveraging quick transitional play against York’s static back line. The Expected Match Goals (2.4) and Over 2.5 projection (61.3%) suggest that the fixture could open up in the second half.

Rochdale’s predicted 0-2 correct score aligns with their recent away form, while York’s declining home conversion rate (under 1.0 average goals per match in the last five fixtures) supports the Double Chance (Win or Draw) recommendation as a stable market position.

Football Park’s predictive engine also identifies the first half as potentially decisive — with Over 0.5 First Half Goals at 77% — giving bettors another angle for early in-play value.

Match Facts

Referee: To be confirmed by the National League Broadcast Details:

UK: National League TV (live streaming)

Global: Available via select bookmaker live streams

Venue Insight: The LNER Community Stadium’s wide playing surface favours attacking football, a factor that has contributed to five of York’s last six home matches finishing with Over 2.5 goals. Rochdale’s historical record at this ground is strong, having won three of their last four visits.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.

Each forecast is powered by our algorithmic model, which analyses over 200 data variables per match — from possession phases and set-piece metrics to conversion probabilities.

Explore Football Park’s latest EFL, National League, and Non-League football predictions for more data-backed insights, responsible betting advice, and expert value analysis ahead of the weekend’s fixtures.