Home Win
Billericay Town 2 - 1 Cheshunt
Who will win?
1
Billericay Town
x
Draw
2
Cheshunt
Match Details: October 14, 2025 | New Lodge | England Non League Premier – Isthmian | Kick-off: 19:45 GMT
The Isthmian League serves up another high-octane clash as Billericay Town host Cheshunt at New Lodge, with both sides aiming to make a statement in one of England’s most competitive non-league divisions. According to Football Park’s advanced algorithm, Billericay Town hold a commanding 66.7% win probability, while Cheshunt’s chances sit at just 26.7%. The data suggests a likely scoreline of 2-1, pointing towards a game rich in attacking opportunities and momentum shifts.
Football Park’s data-driven model — which analyses over 200 performance metrics — highlights two key betting insights:
Billericay Town to Win @ 1.67 (the strongest algorithm-backed outcome).
Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.60, backed by a 70% probability of hitting three or more goals.
Together, these two markets form the backbone of our expert betting preview, supported by consistent head-to-head trends and robust statistical validation.
Football Park’s predictive engine projects a data-backed 2-1 home victory, with Billericay expected to dominate possession and shot creation metrics. The model forecasts 2.1 expected home goals compared to 1.3 for Cheshunt, underlining the hosts’ attacking advantage but also acknowledging Cheshunt’s threat in transition play.
Billericay Town to Win – 66.7% Confidence | Odds: 1.67 The standout selection from Football Park’s data model, Billericay’s home dominance and attacking form make them worthy favourites. They have an 80% win rate at New Lodge across all competitions in 2025, with an average of 2.3 goals per match.
Historical data reinforces this pattern — Billericay have won each of their last two meetings with Cheshunt (4-2 and 2-1). The algorithm predicts a Half-Time/Full-Time outcome of Draw/Home, implying a steady first half before Billericay’s quality takes over.
Over 0.5 First Half Goals: 80%
Over 1.5 First Half Goals: 53%
Half-Time Draw Probability: 50%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 66.7%
Billericay’s attacking midfielders have been key in late surges, and the data anticipates a similar trend — second-half control leading to a narrow but deserved win.
Over 2.5 Match Goals – 70% Confidence | Odds: 1.60 The Football Park algorithm predicts an open, goal-heavy contest, with total expected goals at 3.4. Both teams have demonstrated consistent attacking output but defensive vulnerability, creating a strong case for the Over 2.5 line.
Across their past two meetings, these sides have produced a combined 9 goals, averaging 4.5 per game. This is further supported by high modelled probabilities across key attacking metrics:
Over 1.5 Goals: 85%
Over 2.5 Goals: 70%
Over 3.5 Goals: 37.5%
Both Teams to Score & Win (Home + BTTS): 63.3%
Bettors should expect both teams to contribute to the scoring, with Football Park’s data highlighting a 92% chance of at least one goal in the first half.
This fixture encapsulates the essence of the Isthmian Premier — fast-paced, scrappy, and unpredictable. Billericay Town, established as a promotion contender, enter this clash in strong form, backed by superior attacking metrics and home-field advantage. Their modelled 2.1 expected goals align with their consistent chance creation rate and tactical efficiency when playing at New Lodge.
Cheshunt, however, are far from passive opposition. Despite being underdogs, their 26.7% win probability indicates genuine attacking potential. Football Park’s model rates their counter-attacking sequences highly, forecasting an expected 1.3 goals from transitional play and set-piece opportunities.
The algorithm anticipates a match of two distinct halves — a balanced opening before Billericay’s higher xThreat (expected attacking danger index) prevails. The Draw/Home full-time prediction further supports this game narrative, indicating that early caution could give way to late intensity.
Expected Total Goals: 3.4
Both Teams to Score Probability: 66.7%
Most Likely Correct Score: 2-1
Over 0.5 First Half Goals: 80%
Half-Time Draw Probability: 50%
Half-Time/Full-Time: Draw/Home
26 Apr 2025: Billericay Town 4-2 Cheshunt
13 Apr 2024: Billericay Town 2-1 Cheshunt
These results underline Football Park’s algorithmic projections: Billericay’s attack consistently breaks through Cheshunt’s back line, while the visitors usually find a goal of their own. Across those two fixtures, both teams scored and the Over 2.5 line landed comfortably.
Statistically, Billericay have scored at least twice in 7 of their last 9 home matches, while Cheshunt have netted in 5 consecutive away games. Combined, those trends validate Football Park’s high-probability goals forecast.
Billericay Town to Win @ 1.67 – A statistically justified selection backed by dominant home form and 66.7% algorithm confidence.
Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.60 – Strongly correlated with both sides’ attacking metrics and their recent head-to-head data.
This dual-bet approach balances value and reliability, making it the optimal strategy for bettors seeking data-backed returns from the Non-League market.
At Football Park, we champion data-led and responsible wagering. Our algorithmic insights are designed to inform and guide, not guarantee outcomes. Always stake within personal limits and use our statistical analysis as part of a disciplined betting strategy.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. Our expert analysts and AI models combine real-time data, form metrics, and probability algorithms to deliver accurate, actionable insights for every match.
Billericay Town to Win @ 1.67
Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.60
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