Non League Premier - Isthmian


Away Win
Cheshunt 1 - 2 St Albans City
Who will win?
1

Cheshunt
x
Draw
2

St Albans City
Cheshunt welcome St Albans City to The Stadium on Tuesday 3 February 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:45 GMT in the England Non League Premier – Isthmian. This Hertfordshire derby is an intriguing midweek fixture, with Football Park’s data-led model pointing firmly towards the visitors. St Albans City to win at odds of 2.20 is rated as the standout betting angle, backed by a 53.3% away-win probability and a projected 1–2 correct scoreline. As with all Football Park previews, this analysis follows the same proven algorithmic framework used across our global coverage, including fixtures such as San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sarsfield, combining statistical modelling with match-specific context to highlight value for bettors.
Date: Tuesday 3 February 2026
Kick-off: 19:45 GMT
Venue: The Stadium
Competition: England Non League Premier – Isthmian
This local clash brings together two sides with contrasting outlooks according to the underlying numbers. Cheshunt are expected to be competitive on home turf but face a St Albans City side that the model rates more strongly across key attacking and control metrics.
Expected match goals are set at 3.00, suggesting an open contest, with St Albans City projected to score more freely over 90 minutes. Cheshunt’s attacking output is not insignificant, but their defensive profile points towards vulnerability when placed under sustained pressure. If the visitors are able to dictate tempo and territory, the balance of probability favours them converting chances at a higher rate.
Football Park’s prediction engine analyses more than 200 data points per match, incorporating scoring trends, defensive efficiency, and situational factors such as home advantage. For this fixture, the model assigns a 53.3% probability to a St Albans City victory, compared to 33.3% for Cheshunt and just 13.3% for the draw.
The projected correct score of 1–2 reflects a match in which both sides are likely to score, but where the visitors’ superior attacking numbers ultimately prove decisive. The half-time and full-time pathway also leans towards St Albans City, with the Draw/Away scenario rated as the most likely outcome, suggesting patience rather than an early blitz may be the key for the visitors.
Confirmed lineups will be released closer to kick-off and may offer additional clarity for bettors assessing late markets and potential in-play angles.
Recent head-to-head history between these sides is limited, but the most relevant meeting saw St Albans City claim a 2–1 away victory in August 2022. That result mirrors the current model projection closely, reinforcing confidence in a narrow but deserved away win.
While derby fixtures can often defy trends, the broader data profile suggests St Albans City are better equipped to manage the key phases of the game, particularly if they can establish control in midfield and limit Cheshunt’s transitional opportunities.
Football Park’s model highlights two selections that best align probability with the available odds.
The primary recommendation is St Albans City to Win at 2.20. With the away side given a 53.3% chance of victory, the odds represent strong value relative to the implied probability and make this the clearest pre-match angle.
A secondary selection is Over 1.5 Match Goals, supported by a 90% probability. With expected match goals set at 3.00, this market offers a solid complementary option for bettors seeking coverage aligned with the projected game state.
Cheshunt are likely to approach this fixture with a compact shape, aiming to stay in contention and capitalise on moments in transition. However, their projected numbers suggest they may struggle to sustain pressure over extended periods.
St Albans City are expected to adopt a more proactive approach, committing players forward and looking to stretch the hosts defensively. If they maintain discipline at the back, their attacking edge should allow them to create the clearer chances as the match progresses.
While the data strongly favours St Albans City and a game with goals, Football Park always encourages responsible betting. Non-league fixtures can be influenced by late team news, pitch conditions, or in-game incidents. Always bet within your means and reassess markets as kick-off approaches.
Cheshunt vs St Albans City shapes up as a competitive local derby, but the underlying numbers point towards the visitors having the decisive edge. With St Albans City rated more likely to win and goal markets well supported by the projections, away-win and goals-based selections stand out as the most logical betting routes for this Isthmian League encounter.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.

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