Non League Premier - Northern


Draw
Workington 1 - 1 Guiseley AFC
Who will win?
1

Workington
x
Draw
2

Guiseley AFC
Workington welcome Guiseley AFC in an exciting England Non League Premier – Northern encounter on 18 November 2025, kicking off at 19:45 GMT. Football Park’s predictive model, built on the same analytical framework as our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, expects a tightly balanced contest with very little separating the sides in projected performance levels. Our algorithm highlights a competitive, tactical fixture with both teams likely to create clear chances across both halves.
With both clubs holding an identical 36.70 percent win probability, this matchup has one of the closest pre-kickoff spreads of the midweek schedule. The draw sits at 26.70 percent, while the expected match goals total of 2.50 and a Both Teams to Score probability of 65 percent suggest a strong likelihood of goals at both ends, despite modest individual scoring projections.
Competition: England Non League Premier – Northern Date: 18 November 2025 Kick-Off: 19:45 GMT Venue: Workington Borough Park
Football Park’s data-driven projection sees neither side holding a major advantage, supported by expected scoring outputs of 1.10 goals for Workington and 1.40 for Guiseley AFC. The model’s correct score prediction is 1-1, while a Half Time / Full Time projection of Draw / Draw reinforces the anticipated tactical balance.
Win Probability Forecast: Home Win: 36.70 percent Away Win: 36.70 percent Draw: 26.70 percent
Goals & Match Flow Metrics: Expected Match Goals: 2.50 Both Teams to Score Probability: 65 percent Over 0.5 Match Goals: 85 percent Over 1.5 Match Goals: 85 percent Over 2.5 Match Goals: 42.50 percent
The first half is expected to begin cautiously, with gradual increases in attacking pressure:
Over 0.5 First Half Goals: 73 percent Over 1.5 First Half Goals: 13 percent Both Teams to Score in Both Halves: 23.30 percent
Second-half momentum may play a decisive role, with distribution modelling suggesting both teams could benefit from direct transitional phases and set-play sequences.
These clubs have exchanged narrow victories in recent meetings:
04 Jan 2025: Workington 0-2 Guiseley AFC 27 Apr 2024: Workington 2-1 Guiseley AFC
Both encounters showed defined tactical contrasts: Workington’s compact deeper shape versus Guiseley AFC’s more fluid front-third structure.
Based on Football Park’s probability ratings, these are the two strongest value-driven selections for bettors:
Betting Tip 1: Both Teams to Score Model Probability: 65 percent Rationale: Similar expected goal outputs and balanced win probabilities support BTTS as a high-confidence selection.
Betting Tip 2: Draw Result @ 3.50 Model Probability: 26.70 percent Rationale: Equal win likelihoods and a correct score projection of 1-1 reinforce market value on the stalemate.
Confirmed Workington vs Guiseley lineups will be released closer to kick-off. Tactical expectations suggest Workington may prioritise compact structure with counter-attacking width, while Guiseley AFC could employ a more possession-led approach with rotational movement in forward channels.
This fixture is expected to be shaped by small margins:
Correct Score Projection: 1-1 Most Likely Match Pattern: Draw / Draw (HT / FT) Projected Decision Factors: Midfield duels, set-piece delivery, second-ball recoveries
Both teams must be efficient in the final third, as overall scoring volume may rely on conversion rather than high shot volume.
Referee: To be Confirmed Coverage: Local club media, league streaming platforms Surface: Natural grass, historically favourable to mid-tempo build-up play
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Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. For more model-driven analysis and expert betting insights, visit our dedicated predictions hub.

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