Non League Premier - Southern Central


Away Win
AFC Sudbury 1 - 2 St Ives Town
Who will win?
1

AFC Sudbury
x
Draw
2

St Ives Town
AFC Sudbury face St Ives Town in the England Non League Premier – Southern Central on 18 November 2025, kicking off at 19:45 GMT. The MEL Group Stadium prepares for a high-tempo encounter, and Football Park’s data-driven model, similar to our analytics framework used in the San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips preview, suggests a compelling clash shaped by attacking momentum and strong goal projections.
St Ives Town enter with a significant analytical edge. Our algorithm gives them a 43.30 percent chance of winning, compared to 20.00 percent for AFC Sudbury, with the draw rated at 36.70 percent. With an expected match total of 3.30 goals and Both Teams to Score projected at 75 percent, this fixture is forecast to deliver chances at both ends.
Competition: England Non League Premier – Southern Central Date: 18 November 2025 Kick-off: 19:45 GMT Venue: MEL Group Stadium, Sudbury
Our model expects a match driven by attacking phases, transitional play and periods of end-to-end momentum. The data forecasts St Ives Town to score approximately 2.10 goals, while AFC Sudbury are forecast at 1.20 goals, producing a projected correct score of 1-2 in favour of the visitors.
Expected Outcome Percentages: Home Win: 20.00 percent Draw: 36.70 percent Away Win: 43.30 percent
Prediction Indicators: Correct Score Projection: 1-2 Both Teams to Score Probability: 75 percent Expected Match Goals: 3.30 Half-Time / Full-Time Recommendation: Draw / Away
Based on historical flow and probability modelling, scoring is expected across both halves. Early breakthroughs are highly possible, and momentum swings may develop from rapid counter-attacking sequences.
Over 0.5 First Half Goals: 70 percent probability Over 1.5 First Half Goals: 50 percent probability Over 2.5 Total Match Goals: 67.50 percent probability Both Teams to Score in Both Halves: 30 percent probability
These figures support a high-tempo match scenario rather than a defensive, low-event contest.
26 October 2024: AFC Sudbury 0-0 St Ives Town 30 March 2024: AFC Sudbury 2-4 St Ives Town
The head-to-head history demonstrates volatility: one meeting produced no goals while the other delivered six. This aligns with current projections leaning strongly towards goals and both teams contributing on the scoresheet.
Football Park has identified the two strongest value-driven selections based on probability outperformance versus market odds.
Betting Tip 1: St Ives Town to Win at 1.73 With a 43.30 percent win projection and superior attacking metrics, the visitors hold measurable value. The Draw/Away Half-Time/Full-Time model further reinforces late-match performance upside.
Betting Tip 2: Over 2.5 Match Goals at 1.75 The probability of Over 2.5 goals is 67.50 percent, making this a strong totals position. High BTTS likelihood and expected match goals at 3.30 provide additional justification.
Confirmed AFC Sudbury vs St Ives Town lineups will be available closer to kick-off. Tactical patterns suggest AFC Sudbury typically work from a 4-2-3-1 with emphasis on wide progression, while St Ives Town often deploy a 4-3-3 with vertical forward surges and transition-focused pressing.
This stylistic contrast supports the Both Teams to Score projection and goal-heavy forecast.
St Ives Town project stronger chance creation and more reliable shot volume, particularly in away fixtures. AFC Sudbury create viable attacking spells but typically concede space in advanced midfield, which may determine the result if exploited.
Key predictive insights: Both Teams to Score: 75 percent likelihood Over 2.5 Goals: 67.50 percent likelihood Over 3.5 Goals: 57.50 percent likelihood
Referee: To be confirmed Broadcast: Local club streaming channels Surface: Natural grass, narrower width supporting more central attacking sequences
All projections represent expected probabilities, not certainties. Always bet responsibly, using appropriate staking and bankroll management.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. For more algorithm-supported tips and upcoming match forecasts, follow our predictions hub.

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