Non League Premier - Southern Central


Home Win
Halesowen Town 3 - 0 Alvechurch
Who will win?
1

Halesowen Town
x
Draw
2

Alvechurch
Halesowen Town and Alvechurch meet in a crucial England Non League Premier – Southern Central clash on 18 November 2025, kicking off at 19:45 GMT. The fixture takes place at Halesowen’s home ground, where they have historically performed strongly against visiting Alvechurch sides. As with all Football Park match previews, this analysis is driven by our advanced data model, the same methodology used in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips feature, which evaluates over 200 performance metrics to generate probability-based outcomes.
This matchup leans towards a Halesowen Town victory, with our algorithm assigning the hosts a 49 percent win probability, compared to just 13.30 percent for Alvechurch. The expected goals model projects 1.60 goals for Halesowen Town and 0.90 for Alvechurch, indicating a likely advantage in both chance creation and conversion.
Market odds currently offer Halesowen Town to Win at 1.95, a price that aligns well with model expectations and provides betting value for punters seeking a data-backed angle.
Competition: England Non League Premier – Southern Central Date: Tuesday 18 November 2025 Kick-Off Time: 19:45 GMT Venue: Halesowen Town, West Midlands
Home Win Probability: 49 percent Away Win Probability: 13.30 percent Draw Probability: 37.70 percent
Expected Home Goals: 1.60 Expected Away Goals: 0.90 Most Likely Correct Score: 3-0
Both Teams to Score Probability: 51.10 percent Expected Match Goals: 2.50 Over 2.5 Match Goals Probability: 46.80 percent Over 3.5 Match Goals Probability: 36.80 percent
First Half Projections: Expected First Half Goals: 0.64 Half-Time Result Lean: Draw (57.70 percent) Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Home
The algorithm anticipates a slower opening period, with chance volume building more noticeably after the half-hour mark. Halesowen Town are projected to apply increasing pressure as the match progresses, particularly in wide areas where they have numerical superiority in attacking phases.
Game projection summary: Gradual tempo opening with limited early penalty-area entries Halesowen Town expected to dominate territorial phases from 35–65 minutes Alvechurch likely to rely on counter-attacking transitions and set pieces Final quarter-hour forecast favours Halesowen, with potential for late goal separation
15 Feb 2025 – Halesowen Town 2-2 Alvechurch 01 Apr 2024 – Halesowen Town 1-0 Alvechurch 16 Sep 2023 – Halesowen Town 5-2 Alvechurch
Halesowen Town have been the stronger side across recent meetings, including a decisive five-goal performance in 2023. Across the last three head-to-head contests, Halesowen have averaged 2.67 goals per match.
Based on Football Park’s top-rated probability selections:
Best Bet 1: Halesowen Town Win @ 1.95 The algorithm supports strong home dominance, with nearly four times the win probability of Alvechurch.
Best Bet 2: Over 1.5 Match Goals Model Projection: 61.80 percent Given the previous meetings and expected match goals of 2.50, this represents a consistent goals-based angle.
Final confirmed Halesowen Town vs Alvechurch lineups will be released prior to kickoff, but trends suggest:
Halesowen Town: Strong central progression and crossing volume, emphasis on positional pressure Alvechurch: Compact defensive shape, counter-attacking lanes, focus on set-piece exploitation
This match profile favours teams who can maintain territorial control and sustain final-third phases, which leans towards the hosts.
Referee: TBC Broadcast Coverage: Club media channels and select non-league streaming services Pitch: Natural grass, favourable surface for direct attacking play Market Note: Halesowen’s price has remained stable, signalling strong early-betting confidence
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Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. Access more algorithm-driven match previews and betting insights in our predictions hub.

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