Quorn vs Harborough Town Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Quorn vs Harborough Town Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Quorn host Harborough Town at Farley Way Stadium on 18 November 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 19:45 GMT in the England Non League Premier – Southern Central. This fixture pits a struggling Quorn side against a Harborough team showing far greater consistency, particularly in away performances.

Using Football Park’s data-driven predictive model — as featured in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips template — this in-depth preview provides a professional, analytical breakdown based on probability metrics, tactical structure, and market value.

Key Betting Tip: Harborough Town to Win @ 2.10 – Football Park’s algorithm gives Harborough a 60% win probability, indicating strong value compared to the implied market probability of 47.6%. The model expects Harborough’s superior away form and attacking conversion rate to define this match.

Match Details

• Competition: England Non League Premier – Southern Central
• Date: 18 November 2025
• Kick-off: 19:45 GMT
• Venue: Farley Way Stadium, Quorn

Quorn vs Harborough Town Predictions

Football Park’s predictive algorithm anticipates a disciplined and efficient Harborough Town performance against a Quorn side struggling to convert possession into scoring opportunities. With a 60% projected away win probability, Harborough emerge as clear statistical favourites.

Model Overview:

• Home Win Probability: 13.30%
• Draw Probability: 26.70%
• Away Win Probability: 60.00%
• Both Teams to Score Probability: 46.70%
• Expected Match Goals: 2.90
• Correct Score Prediction: 0-3
• Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Away

Football Park’s model suggests Harborough will control the rhythm of play, particularly through direct transitions and wide overloads. The predicted 0-3 scoreline reflects their attacking precision and Quorn’s defensive instability — the home side’s low expected goals (1.00) underlines their inefficiency in chance conversion.

The Draw/Away projection implies a cautious first half before Harborough’s sustained pressure tells in the latter stages.

Quorn vs Harborough Town Timeline

The Quorn vs Harborough Town timeline indicates a steady but decisive away performance, building momentum through possession and positional discipline.

Key Timeline Insights:

• Over 0.5 Match Goals Probability: 100.00%
• Over 1.5 Match Goals Probability: 75.00%
• Over 2.5 Match Goals Probability: 50.00%
• Over 3.5 Match Goals Probability: 30.00%
• Over 0.5 First Half Goals Probability: 60.00%
• Over 1.5 First Half Goals Probability: 13.00%

These projections reflect a low-intensity first half followed by an increased tempo after the interval. Harborough’s modelled scoring likelihood spikes between the 55th and 75th minutes, where they generate the majority of their away goals.

Historically, this fixture supports those trends. In their most recent meeting on 4 November 2023, Harborough secured a 1-0 away win, showcasing their defensive solidity and tactical patience. Football Park’s current projections suggest a similar script, albeit with greater attacking output this time.

Best Quorn vs Harborough Town Betting Tips

Football Park’s model isolates two high-value markets backed by strong probability confidence and implied odds advantage.

1. Harborough Town to Win @ 2.10

Football Park’s top recommendation is a Harborough Town victory, supported by a robust 60% win probability. Their consistent away data profile highlights superior attacking structure, greater efficiency in final-third passing, and defensive compactness against transitional sides like Quorn.

Supporting Data:

• Away Win Probability: 60.00%
• Correct Score Prediction: 0-3
• Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Away

Harborough’s tactical setup — anchored by a balanced midfield and pace on the flanks — suits the conditions at Farley Way Stadium. The model identifies Quorn’s low attacking returns (1.00 expected goals) as a key limiting factor, particularly given their 13.3% win probability and lack of clean sheets in similar matchups.

Why It’s Value: At 2.10 odds (47.6% implied probability), the Football Park model’s 60% win projection represents a 12.4% value advantage, positioning Harborough as one of the strongest away bets in this round of Non-League fixtures.

2. Over 1.5 Match Goals @ 1.70

The secondary Football Park model-backed selection is Over 1.5 Match Goals, reflecting the projected 75% likelihood of this market landing.

Key Indicators:

• Over 1.5 Match Goals Probability: 75.00%
• Over 2.5 Match Goals Probability: 50.00%
• Expected Match Goals: 2.90
• Correct Score Prediction: 0-3

While Quorn’s attacking output remains inconsistent, Harborough’s expected 1.90 goals imply they can comfortably reach the 2+ goal mark required for this selection. The model’s 0-3 scoreline forecast and 100% probability of at least one match goal further reinforce the reliability of this market.

Why It’s Value: At 1.70 odds (58.8% implied), the 75% model projection provides a 16.2% value margin, supported by Harborough’s attacking consistency and Quorn’s defensive exposure across both halves.

Quorn vs Harborough Town Lineups Insight

Official Quorn vs Harborough Town lineups will be confirmed ahead of kick-off, but Football Park’s tactical forecasting offers insight into likely team shapes and patterns.

Quorn are expected to adopt a 4-4-2 structure, prioritising defensive shape and counterattacking transitions. However, their limited midfield progression often isolates their forwards and restricts creativity in central zones.

Harborough Town are projected to operate in a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on vertical progression, overlapping full-backs, and direct delivery into the box. Their fluid attacking structure allows for flexibility and overloads in wide areas — a key strength exploited in the last meeting between these teams.

The Football Park model’s simulations favour Harborough’s tactical configuration, which consistently outperforms lower-possession opponents in conversion and control metrics.

Quorn vs Harborough Town Matches – Tactical & Betting Analysis

Analysis of Quorn vs Harborough Town matches highlights recurring patterns of away dominance and defensive disparity.

Algorithm Summary:

• Most Likely Scoreline: 0-3
• Away Win Probability: 60.00%
• Both Teams to Score Probability: 46.70%
• Expected Match Goals: 2.90

Harborough’s data-driven performance indicators underscore their efficiency in shot conversion (18%) and pressing recovery (11.4 recoveries per match in the opposition half). Quorn, meanwhile, rank significantly lower in expected attacking actions and defensive duels won, leading to sustained opposition pressure.

Football Park’s simulation projects Harborough to take control in the second half, with a 53.3% half-time draw probability before asserting dominance after the break — consistent with their pattern of delayed but decisive attacking phases.

The model also flags a 100% chance of at least one goal and a 75% likelihood of surpassing the 1.5-goal mark, highlighting this fixture’s appeal for over-goals backers.

Betting Summary

Top Tip: Harborough Town to Win @ 2.10 Backed by a 60% algorithmic probability and a double-digit value margin against market prices.

Alternative Value Bet: Over 1.5 Match Goals @ 1.70 Strong statistical support (75% probability) aligns with Football Park’s projected 0-3 scoreline.

Predicted Goals: 2.90

Correct Score Prediction: 0-3

Match Facts

• Referee: Appointment TBA
• Venue: Farley Way Stadium, Quorn
• Kick-Off: 19:45 GMT
• Broadcast: Local streaming and Non-League coverage

The compact, high-tempo pitch conditions at Farley Way are expected to favour Harborough’s transitional play, allowing them to exploit Quorn’s defensive lapses and convert their attacking superiority into a convincing result.

Responsible Betting Message

Football Park’s betting previews are based on quantitative modelling and in-depth statistical analysis. However, all betting carries inherent risk. Always stake responsibly, manage your bankroll, and seek support if gambling ceases to be enjoyable.

Football Park Predictions

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Stay informed with the latest Quorn vs Harborough Town predictions and Non-League betting insights exclusively at Football Park.