Non League Premier - Southern South


Home Win
Basingstoke Town 2 - 1 Gloucester City
Who will win?
1

Basingstoke Town
x
Draw
2

Gloucester City
Basingstoke Town host Gloucester City in a compelling England Non League Premier – Southern South clash on 18 November 2025, kicking off at 19:45 GMT. Football Park’s data-powered prediction model, built on the same analytical methodology used in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, anticipates a tactical contest shaped by tight margins and a high probability of goals at both ends.
With 60 percent probability of a draw, this fixture projects as one of the most evenly balanced matches of the midweek non-league schedule. The algorithm expects a closely contested encounter, forecasting 1.40 goals for Basingstoke Town and 1.50 for Gloucester City. A Both Teams to Score likelihood of 86.70 percent further strengthens the expectation of a competitive and open match, underlined by an expected goal projection of 2.90 and Over 1.5 Match Goals hitting a 95 percent probability.
Competition: England Non League Premier – Southern South Date: 18 November 2025 Kick-Off: 19:45 GMT Venue: Winklebury Sports Ground
The Football Park algorithm forecasts a match defined by marginal attacking value and shared control phases:
Home Win Probability: 26.70 percent Away Win Probability: 13.30 percent Draw Probability: 60 percent
Expected Match Goals: 2.90 Correct Score Projection: 1-1 Half-Time / Full-Time Projection: Draw / Draw
Key Goal Metrics: Both Teams to Score Probability: 86.70 percent Over 0.5 Match Goals: 95 percent Over 1.5 Match Goals: 95 percent Over 2.5 Match Goals: 50 percent Over 3.5 Match Goals: 20 percent
The expected pace profile indicates a controlled first-half structure, increasing in tempo after the interval.
Over 0.5 First Half Goals: 47 percent Over 1.5 First Half Goals: 33 percent Both Teams to Score in Both Halves: 33.30 percent
The model identifies a high likelihood that the fixture opens up in the final half hour, where Gloucester’s vertical play and Basingstoke’s transitional surges could generate decisive chances.
These sides most recently met in early 2025, producing a tight affair:
08 Feb 2025: Basingstoke Town 1-1 Gloucester City
The result aligns closely with the current algorithmic projection for another low-margin outcome.
Best Basingstoke Town vs Gloucester City Betting Tips
Football Park highlights the two highest-value selections based on probability modelling and odds efficiency:
Betting Tip 1: Basingstoke Town Double Chance (Win or Draw) Odds: 1.73 Model Logic: With a 60 percent projected draw rate and a higher probability of Basingstoke avoiding defeat than Gloucester, this market offers strong risk-adjusted value.
Betting Tip 2: Both Teams to Score Model Probability: 86.70 percent Rationale: Expected goals for both teams exceed 1.40 and match modelling indicates consistent attacking phases for both sides.
Final confirmed Basingstoke Town vs Gloucester City lineups will be available closer to kick-off. Tactical indicators suggest Basingstoke could prioritize structured counter-attacking lanes, while Gloucester City may attempt to control territory through central progression and set-play threat.
Most Likely Match Pattern: Sustained midfield congestion with escalated wing progression in the final third.
Key Factors Likely to Decide Outcome: Set-piece execution Wide overload transitions Defensive error exploitation under pressure
Broadcast: Local digital streaming services and club media Referee: To Be Confirmed Pitch Profile: Fast, stable surface, suited to rapid transitional phases
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Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. To access further value-driven insights and algorithm-supported betting advice, explore our full predictions hub.

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