Non League Premier - Southern South


Over 1.5
Chertsey Town 1 - 2 Hanwell Town
Who will win?
1

Chertsey Town
x
Draw
2

Hanwell Town
Chertsey Town host Hanwell Town in a compelling England Non League Premier – Southern South fixture on 18 November 2025, kicking off at 19:45 GMT. As always, this preview is driven by Football Park’s advanced algorithm methodology, the same data-led approach used in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips feature.
With over 200 performance indicators feeding our predictive model, the numbers point strongly towards a favourable outcome for the visitors. Hanwell Town are given a 55.70 percent chance of victory, compared with just 20 percent for Chertsey Town, with the away side’s attacking metrics also projecting an expected 1.70 goals, reflecting a notable superiority in final-third efficiency.
This fixture has strong potential for goals, rated 100 percent likely to see Over 0.5 Match Goals and 95 percent likely to surpass Over 1.5 Match Goals, while the data also shows a 64.50 percent chance of Both Teams Scoring. The algorithm’s correct score projection aligns with a 1-2 win for Hanwell Town, suggesting a competitive but decisive outcome.
Competition: England Non League Premier – Southern South Date: Tuesday 18 November 2025 Kick-Off: 19:45 GMT Venue: Chertsey Town FC, Surrey
Football Park’s model projections: Home Win Probability: 20 percent Away Win Probability: 55.70 percent Draw Probability: 24.30 percent
Expected Home Goals: 1.20 Expected Away Goals: 1.70 Most Likely Correct Score: 1-2
Both Teams to Score Probability: 64.50 percent Expected Match Goals: 2.90 Over 2.5 Match Goals Probability: 43.30 percent Over 3.5 Match Goals Probability: 25 percent
First Half Scoring Outlook: Expected First Half Goals: 1.36 Over 0.5 First Half Goals Probability: 64 percent Over 1.5 First Half Goals Probability: 44 percent Half-Time/Full-Time Trend: Away/Away
Modelling suggests a slower opening phase, with highest live-goal probability building between the 29th and 44th minute window, led primarily by Hanwell Town’s forward progression and superior ball-carrying efficiency into scoring areas.
Projected match flow: Early territorial balance before Hanwell transitions into higher attacking volume Chertsey Town likely to find more openings from set plays than open-play construction Game volatility expected to increase beyond the 72nd minute as scoreboard pressure intensifies
21 Apr 2025 – Chertsey Town 0-2 Hanwell Town 19 Mar 2022 – Chertsey Town 1-2 Hanwell Town 30 Nov 2019 – Chertsey Town 1-1 Hanwell Town
Historical trend: Hanwell Town unbeaten in the last three meetings, averaging 1.67 goals per match in this fixture sample.
Based on Football Park’s highest-value percentage predictions:
Best Bet 1: Hanwell Town Double Chance (Win or Draw) Odds: 1.80 Model Confidence: 79 percent implied safety vs home win variance
Best Bet 2: Over 1.5 Match Goals Model Probability: 95 percent Rationale: Combined expected goals of 2.90, strong historical goal pattern, and high first-half scoring likelihood.
Final Chertsey Town vs Hanwell Town lineups will be confirmed closer to the match, but strategic indicators suggest:
Chertsey Town: Mid-block defensive structure, reliance on transitional counters and set-piece delivery Hanwell Town: More direct, higher wing involvement, heavier expected box entries and shot volume
Referee: To be assigned Broadcast: Regional non-league coverage and club digital channels Playing Surface: Grass, with favourable November evening conditions Market Observation: Strong value gap in Double Chance market relative to win probability projections
Always wager safely. Football Park encourages responsible staking limits, awareness of betting risks, and maintaining control when placing wagers.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. For more data-driven previews, betting tips and algorithm-based forecasting, visit our full predictions hub.

Contact Sales