Arouca vs FC Porto Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Arouca vs FC Porto Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Details: September 29, 2025 | Estádio Municipal de Arouca | Liga Portugal | 20:00 BST

The flawless league leaders make the short trip east to Arouca as they look to maintain their perfect start in all competitions to the 2025/26 campaign. Arouca will seek to cause an upset, but the match is in Porto’s form, and it looks like it will take a lot to stop them.

Key Betting Tips: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.73 odds on Kwiff, representing excellent value based on the tip provided by our algorithm.

Arouca vs Porto Predicted Lineups

Arouca Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Joao Valido; Amadou Dante, Boris Popovic, Matias Rocha, Tiago Esgaio; David Simao, Taichi Fukui; Nais Djouahra, Hyun-Ju Lee, Alfonso Trezza; Dylan Nandin.

Rocha will have to come in for the suspended Jose Fontán.

Porto Predicted XI (4-3-3): Diogo Costa; Zaidu Sanusi, Jakub Kiwior, Jan Bednarek, Pablo Rosario; Gabriel Veiga, Alan Varela, Victor Froholdt; Borja Sainz, Samuel Aghehowa, Pepe.

There may only be two injuries for Francesco Farioli’s side, Luuk de Jong doubtful, and Nehuén Perez out with a tendon issue.

Arouca vs Porto Current League Standings

This is Arouca fifth consecutive season in the Portuguese top tier, and they reside in mid-table after six games, having all won, drawn and lost two matches. This eight-point tally sees them in 10th place, however, with a win on Monday they could rise a number of places due to the difference between teams above them.

As for Porto, they are dominating the league thus far, having already picked up an incredible three points in the capital, defeating Sporting CP 2-1 on the way to their maximum 18-point haul. It seems as though this team will be difficult to stop this season.

Arouca vs Porto Head-to-Head Timeline

One word to describe this fixture historically – dominance – towards Porto, that is. Monday’s visitors have won 14 of the past 17 meetings, with Arouca winning just twice. The only draw over the past decade, as well as one of Arouca’s wins have both come in their past five meetings, however, the fixture still leans heavily one way.

Recent Head-to-Head Results:

• March 1, 2025: Arouca 0-2 Porto (Liga Portugal)
• September 29, 2024: Porto 4-0 Arouca (Liga Portugal)
• February 12, 2024: Arouca 3-2 Porto (Liga Portugal)
• September 3, 2023: Porto 1-1 Arouca (Liga Portugal)
• May 8, 2023: Arouca 0-1 Porto (Liga Portugal)

Their last meeting came in March, with Porto’s goal in each half securing a comfortable 2-0 win.

Arouca and Porto Recent Matches Analysis

Arouca Last 5 Matches:

• Arouca 2-1 Nacional (A) – Liga Portugal
• Arouca 0-2 Casa Pia AC (H) – Liga Portugal
• Arouca 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes (A) – Liga Portugal
• Arouca 3-3 Rio Ave (H) – Liga Portugal
• Arouca 0-6 Sporting CP (A) – Liga Portugal

Aside form their 6-0 thumping by Sporting, Arouca have made their games competitive, having since scored six, conceding seven.

Porto Last 5 Matches:

• Porto 1-0 RB Salzburg (A) – Europa League
• Porto 3-0 Rio Ave (A) – Liga Portugal
• Porto 1-0 Nacional (H) – Liga Portugal
• Porto 2-1 Sporting CP (A) – Liga Portugal
• Porto 4-0 Casa Pia AC (H) – Liga Portugal

Porto have played the same opposition as Arouca domestically; however, they have completely dominated them, winning all games. They have scored 11 in this time, conceding just once.

Arouca vs Porto Predictions

Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with confidence in an Over 2.5 Goals victory. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.

Best Arouca vs Porto Betting Tips

Football Park’s Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.3 - Recent form suggests confidence in a high-scoring game. Porto have so far won all of their games comfortably, and Arouca have struggled for results, so this game could be high scoring, and also one-sided.

Key Players to Watch: Arouca vs Porto

Nais Djouahra (Arouca): The midfielder has comfortably been his sides best player so far this season. His three goals have come in games in which Arouca have won points from, suggesting any contribution from the Frenchman could be pivotal.

Samuel Aghehowa (Porto): After an incredible first season in northern Portugal, Samu has started this season where he left off, scoring four times already and he will be eager to continue this form on Monday.

Arouca vs Porto Match Facts

Referee: Fabio Verissimo (POR). The young Portuguese official will be refereeing his 10th match on record on Monday, and so far, he has enjoyed bringing out his cards, handing out 5.8 yellows on average so far.

Stadium Information: Located in northern Portugal, Arouca, the Estádio Municipal de Arouca can hold a crowd of up to 5,600 fans.

Arouca vs Porto: Final Prediction

Arouca 0-3 Porto