Portugal Primeira Liga


Draw
Benfica 2 - 2 Sporting CP
Who will win?
1

Benfica
x
Draw
2

Sporting CP
This Friday sees Portugal's biggest match up as the Lisbon derby takes place between two of the nations biggest teams. This one will have a big stake on the line as come the end of the season both sides will be in the title race picture. As of writing the sides are only separated by a 3 point gap which hosts Benfica will be aiming to close whilst both sides will be chasing after Liga Portugal leaders Porto.
Key Betting Tip: Benfica Double Chance (Win or Draw) at 1.53 odds represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our team of in-house tipsters.
Benfica (4-2-3-1): Trubin, Dedic, Silva, Otamendi, Dhal, Barrenechea, Barreiro, Rego, Sudakov, Aursnes, Pavlidis
Sporting CP (4-2-3-1): Silva, Fresneda, Quaresma, Inacio, Araujo, Hjulmand, Morita, Catamo, Trincao, Quenda, Suarez
In the last 5 meetings between the Lisbon rivals neither side can come out of it with total bragging rights. They both have 2 wins each and 1 draw in their last 5 meetings. For Friday's game it's important to note than Benfica might come into the game with a minor mental edge as they bettered their opposition last time out.
What else is clear in their meetings is that it's always a tight game, no side is particularly clear of the other one making it a smart bet to go for a double chance in this tie.
Last 5 Benfica Games:
Benfica have been on slightly worse form than they would have liked in an ideal world but still shown why they will be in the title picture come the end of the season. They have won 3 on the bounce coming into Friday's game and only narrowly lost 1 in their previous 5.
In their last 5 the red side of Lisbon have been able to keep 2 clean sheets, on it's own this is only an average defensive record however we must consider they have only conceded 4 outside of this showing they're tough to break down. Up front they have also shown an ability to punish opposition defences bagging themselves 8 in 5.
Last 5 Sporting CP Games:
Out of the two side of the Lisbon derby, Sporting CP have shown marginally better form being undefeated in their previous 5 outings. The side in green have been able to win their last 4 on the bounce including some absolute battering's in the process.
In defence Sporting CP are showing a very clear ability to keep it tidy at the back, they have recorded 3 clean sheets and only conceded 2 goals outside of this making it only 2 conceded in their last 5. Up front however is where it gets even more impressive, they have managed to net a whopping 13 in their last 5 outings.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with 80% confidence in a Benfica victory or draw. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.
Football Park's Best Bet: Benfica Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.53 - Our team of in-house betting tipsters have predicted a Benfica win or draw in this fixture. Their form, individual quality, and head-to-head record justify confidence in this selection
Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica):
Greek striker Pavlidis has really highlighted just how prolific of a forward he can be so far for Benfica in this years campaign. In the league he is averaging over 1 contribution per game with 10 goals and 3 assists in 12 league games played.
His 10 league goals make him by far and away the highest scorer for the club and his goal getting has in fact been so good he's leading the golden boot charge for the league as a whole.
Luis Javier Suarez (Sporting CP):
After the departure of Swedish striker Viktor Gyokeres to Arsenal in the summer many were unsure how Sporting were going to replace his goals in the side, luckily for them they struck gold as Colombian forward Suarez arrived in the summer and is nearly just as prolific in the league as the Swede.
Suarez is leading Sporting's league goalscoring charts with 9 league goals, this also puts him 2nd behind Pavlidis in the Liga Portugal charts. To add to this he has been able to register 2 assists making him the clubs 2nd highest overall contributor behind Goncalves who will miss the Lisbon derby through injury.
Broadcast Details: N/A (UK), Various Regional DAZN Channels (Europe)
Stadium Information: The game will take place at the Estadio da luz in Lisbon, Portugal, home of Benfica. The stadium has a capacity of 68,100.
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