Casa Pia vs Porto Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Casa Pia vs Porto Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Details: February 2, 2026 | Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior | Liga Portugal | 20:45 GMT

Porto travel to the capital to face Casa Pia in a game that, with all due respect to the hosts, is pretty much destined to be another three points on the way to the title for Porto. They've been completely dominant in the league this season and are still unbeaten to this point, so will look to send the chasers yet another statement of intent by defeating a relegation candidate, while Casa Pia have the opportunity to serve up one of Europe's biggest shocks of the season if they can hold strong at home.

Key Betting Tips: Porto to Win @ 1.29 odds on Coral, 1.25 odds on BoyleSports and QuinnBet or 1.22 odds on Kwiff all represent good value based on the tip provided by Football Park's advanced algorithm.

The visitors just look far too good in comparison to Casa Pia, and look incredibly likely to come away from this game with the three points. If the hosts get anything from this game at all then it will come as a monumental shock, so it's definitely worth backing Porto here.

Casa Pia vs Porto Predicted Lineups

Casa Pia Predicted XI (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira; David Sousa, Kaly, Joao Goulart; Abdu Conte, Renato Nhaga, Rafael Brito, Gaizka Larrazabal; Jérémy Livolant, Cassiano, Tiago Morais

Duplexe Tchamba is a confirmed absence for Casa Pia, expected to return to action in the next few weeks, while there are several fitness doubts within the squad as well, namely Lawrence Ofori, Kiki and Kaique Rocha.

Porto Predicted XI (4-3-3): Diogo Costa; Jakub Kiwior, Jan Bednarek, Thiago Silva, Martim Fernandes; Gabriel Veiga, Alan Varela, Rodrigo Mora; Borja Sainz, Samuel Aghehowa, Pepe

Both Luuk de Jong and Nehuén Pérez have been out with long-term injuries, but they may be ready to be slowly reintroduced to the line-up, so they may get a few minutes in this game.

Casa Pia vs Porto Current League Standings

The hosts currently occupy the relegation play-off spot of 16th heading into this game, but since they have a game in hand on the sides ahead of them, a good result would see them rise one position and suddenly be very close to the lower-mid table pack. Unfortunately, though, the chances of that result happening are incredibly slim (or according to Football Park's algorithm, genuinely impossible). They've had a difficult season, but are still worthy of credit given that they haven't been in the division for very long, and have shown a lot of fight to still be in contention to stay up.

Porto are, in two words, bafflingly good. They've dropped points on one occasion in Liga Portugal this season, and even then it was only a draw, so they're still on for an unbeaten season. To make matters even more impressive, they've conceded just four goals in 19 games, and are now even less likely to ship goals having brought in legendary centre-half Thiago Silva. They look as though they'll win every game for the rest of the season, so it's not looking good for their lowly opponents in this game.

Casa Pia vs Porto Head-to-Head Timeline

With a total of eight meetings between these two sides in history, the first of which coming in 2019, Porto have been the dominant force when they've crossed paths. Seven wins in their favour, the only other result being a draw, means that the visitors are almost guaranteed a win here if the fixture history is anything to go by. Their wins are usually pretty comfortable as well, but you would expect that considering how powerful Porto are compared to the majority of clubs in Portugal.

Recent Head-to-Head Results:

• August 24, 2025: Porto 4-0 Casa Pia (Liga Portugal)
• April 12, 2025: Casa Pia 0-1 Porto (Liga Portugal)
• December 2, 2024: Porto 2-0 Casa Pia (Liga Portugal)
• April 21, 2024: Casa Pia 1-2 Porto (Liga Portugal)
• December 9, 2023: Porto 3-1 Casa Pia (Liga Portugal)

Casa Pia and Porto Recent Matches Analysis

Casa Pia Last 5 Matches:

• Casa Pia 3-3 AVS Futebal SAD (H) - Liga Portugal
• Casa Pia 0-3 Sporting (A) - Liga Portugal
• Casa Pia 1-3 Rio Ave (A) - Liga Portugal
• Casa Pia 0-0 Vitoria de Guimaraes (H) - Liga Portugal
• Casa Pia 2-1 Tondela (A) - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia's recent form is kind of what you'd expect for a side languishing at the bottom end of the league, with just one win and one draw from their last five games. Their win came against Tondela, a fellow relegation candidate, so has ended up being an incredibly important result already, but they need to improve their defensive record more than anything if they want to start seeing better form. They've let in nine goals in their last three games, which is going to do them absolutely no favours in their fight for survival, but they were able to put in an impressive attacking performance to score three of their own in their last game.

Porto Last 5 Matches:

• Porto 3-1 Rangers (H) - UEFA Europa League
• Porto 3-0 Gil Vicente (H) - Liga Portugal
• Porto 1-1 Viktoria Plzen (A) - UEFA Europa League
• Porto 1-0 Vitoria de Guimareas (A) - Liga Portugal
• Porto 1-0 Benfica (H) - Taca de Portugal

Formidable. That is the word to describe Porto, both in recent weeks and across the season, as they've been absolutely unrelenting in picking up results consistently. Four wins and one draw in their last five is impressive enough form on it's own, let alone when they've been able to do it all season, and their defensive solidity has been a huge factor in that. They've certainly listened to the old adage that defence wins you titles, keeping three clean sheets in their last five and conceding just four times all season in the league.

Casa Pia vs Porto Predictions

Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with a 65.00% confidence in Porto to Win. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.

Best Casa Pia vs Porto Betting Tips

Football Park’s Best Bet: Porto to Win @ 1.29 odds on Coral - Given how unbelievably impressive they've been all season, and Casa Pia's struggles to this point, there only looks like one outcome in this game, and that is for Porto to win comfortably.

Key Players to Watch: Casa Pia vs Porto

Jérémy Livolant (Casa Pia): The winger is remarkably versatile along the frontline, capable of offering a threat anywhere in attack, though he is at his strongest when he occupies the right wing. The Frenchman picked up an assist in his last outing, taking his tally up to five for the season in the league, accompanied by his three goals, which makes him arguably Casa Pia's strongest attacking player. If anyone is likely to cause problems for the vigorous Porto defence, it'll be Livolant.

Thiago Silva (Porto): Now 41-years old, the veteran defender has proven that he is still capable of delivering excellent performances at the highest level for Porto, helping his side keep three clean sheets in his last five appearances for them. He's always been a player worth watching, and he now looks set to add even more silverware to his already mightily impressive career haul, so anticipate a dominant performance at the back from himself.

Casa Pia vs Porto Match Facts

Broadcast Details: N/A

Referee: Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho

Stadium Information: Located in Lisbon, the capital of Portugal, Casa Pia play at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, as their previous stadium, Estádio Pina Manique, was adjudged to not have adequete facilities for first division football.

Casa Pia vs Porto: Final Prediction

Casa Pia 0-2 Porto