Portugal Primeira Liga


Home Win
FC Porto 2 - 1 Gil Vicente
Who will win?
1

FC Porto
x
Draw
2

Gil Vicente
A game that sees two of the top sides in Portugal go head-to-head as Porto look to make their lead on the table even more defined. They will be hoping that they can keep their 7 points gap between them and second place Sporting. However, 4th placed Gil Vicente won’t let this be an easy game as they will be looking to drive up the table and push for those top 3 spots for the chance to play in the 2 top competitions in Europe. Our advanced algorithm has predicted that this game will end 2-1 to Porto and see their gap increase as they get closer to winning the league.
Key Betting Tip: Porto to win this game at 1.38 odds – this represents excellent value based on tips provided to us by our team of in-house tipsters.
FC Porto Predicted Lineup (4-3-3): Costa, Costa, Bednarek, Kiwior, Fernandes, Froholdt, Rosario, Mora, Gomes, Aghehowa, Sainz
Gil Vicente Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1): Figueira, Konan, Gilbert, Buatu, Carlos, Garcia, Ferreria, Toure, Esteves, Murilo, Varela
Gil Vicente 0-2 FC Porto Gil Vicente 3-1 FC Porto FC Porto 3-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vincente 1-1 FC Porto FC Porto 2-1 Gil Vincente
Porto have had the more enjoyable run out recently between these 2 sides having won 3 out of the last 5 matches and only lost a single game. They have been very much the stronger team having scored in all of the last 5 matches and keeping 2 clean sheets. To add onto the goals scored they have managed to net 9 goals in the last 5 matches almost averaging 2 goals per meeting. However, there is one negative that they struggle when away from home, however, this won’t have much of an effect for this game as they are normally strongest when playing at home scoring 5 and conceding just 1 in the last 2 home meetings.
Vicente have struggled recently especially when they have faced Porto away. This could cause some worry for them as they have yet to get a positive result at Porto in the last 5 matches and really struggling to match their ability. This could damage their confidence going into this game as they know they haven’t been the best there in recent years.
Last 5 FC Porto Matches: FC Porto 2-0 AVS Futebol SAD (H) Liga Portugal Santa Clara 0-1 FC Porto (A) Liga Portugal FC Porto 1-0 Benfica (H) Taca de Portugal Victoria de Guimaraes 0-1 FC Porto (A) Liga Portugal Viktoria Plzen 1-1 FC Porto (A) Europe League
Very impressive form from the leaders of the Portuguese league having only failed to win a single game in the last 5. The most impressive part is their domestic run having won 4 matches in Portugal and to add onto this not conceding a single goal in those 4 domestic matches. Their defence has been impenetrable this season only conceding 4 goals this season in the league. They will be looking to add another clean sheet to their collection and add some more goals so that they can catch their goal difference up to second place Sporting.
Last 5 Gil Vicente Matches: Cisa Pia AC 1-1 Gil Vicente (A) Liga Portugal Gil Vicente 2-2 Rio Ave (H) Liga Portugal Arouca 2-2 Gil Vicente (A) Liga Portugal Gil Vicente 1-1 Sporting CP (H) Liga Portugal Gil Vicente 2-1 Nacional (H) Liga Portugal
Some good form for Vicente having not lost a game in their last 5. However, they would’ve hoped to change some of those draws into wins so that they weren’t dropping points especially as they have dropped 8 points in the last 5 matches. Something that a team chasing the top 3 can’t afford to do. Unlike Porto they have struggled to defend having conceded in every game in the last 5 matches and conceded 7 in those matches. However, they have managed to score 8 goals, so their attack has been looking sharp in the last 5 matches. The main worry is that their last match was their only win and that was a home match, so that confidence won’t be felt as much as they won’t have their home fans behind them in this game.
Our advanced algorithm has analysed over 200 pieces of data and predicted with a 53.30% confidence that FC Porto will win this match. The key factors that help this are players available, current form, previous head-to-head and tactical matchups.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Porto to win this game @ 1.38 odds. This is based on tips provided to us by our team of in-house tipsters at football park as a result of Porto having the much stronger form and defence in the last 5 matches.
### Key Players to Watch: FC Porto vs Gil Vicente
Diogo Costa (FC Porto): 4 goals conceded this season and that is in large part to this man. Costa has been considered as one of the best goalkeepers in Europe for a long time now and this season he has reached a new level. Keeping 13 clean sheets in 18 matches this season. While a lot of people could base that on the defence in front of him, the fact he has faced an xG of 6.6 this season and only conceded 4 goals, shows that he has been just as important this season. He will be vital for Porto to win this game and will be one of the main reasons for why they could go on to win the league this season.
Luis Esteves (Gil Vicente): The attacking midfielder has been one of the best players for Vicente this season having provided 8 goal contributions in 17 matches this season. While he hasn’t overperformed his xG or xA this season by much, he has performed to its level and to add onto this his ability to create chances having created 37 this season shows why he has been so important for them. Providing 3 assists in the last 3 matches he will hope to carry this on into this game and his ability to create will be needed against a defence as good as Porto so he will be vital if they hope to get any points from this game.
Referee: Antonio Nobre Stadium Details: Estadio Do Dragao Capacity 50,399 surface grass

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