Sporting CP vs Casa Pia: Lineups, Predictions & Betting Tips

Portugal Primeira Liga

Sporting CP
Sporting CP
vs
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
4 - 0Our Prediction

Sporting CP vs Casa Pia Predictions

Over 3.5

Sporting CP 4 - 0 Casa Pia

1.10
Best Odds When Tipped
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1

Sporting CP

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Draw

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2

Casa Pia

Sporting CP vs Casa Pia: Lineups, Predictions & Betting Tips

Match Details: January 16, 2026 | Estadio Jose Alvalade | Liga Portugal | 20:15 GMT

It's an opposite ends of the table clash this Friday evening as Casa Pia travel to the Portuguese capital to take on the giants Sporting CP. A result will mean very different things for the sides, a win for Sporting will allow them to keep pressure on leaders FC Porto in the title race.

For the visitors meanwhile a result would be huge in giving them some breathing room in their relegation scrap, Casa Pia currently sit only 2 points ahead of certain relegation and are on even points with Arouca who sit 17th in a relegation play-off spot.

Key Betting Tip: Over 3.5 Match Goals at 2.20 odds represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our team of in-house tipsters.

Sporting CP vs Casa Pia Predicted Lineups:

Sporting CP (4-2-3-1): Silva, Fresneda, Quaresma, Matheus, Araujo, Hjulmand, Simoes, Trincao, Ionnaidis, Goncalves, Suarez

Casa Pia (3-5-2): Sequeira, Geraldes, Fonte, Sousa, Larrazbal, Oukili, Brito, Nhaga, Conte, Cassiano, Livolant

Head to Head Record Evaluation:

  1. Casa Pia 0-2 Sporting CP
  2. Casa Pia 1-3 Sporting CP
  3. Sporting CP 2-0 Casa Pia
  4. Sporting CP 8-0 Casa Pia
  5. Casa Pia 1-2 Sporting CP

In the previous 5 meetings between the sides it's very evident to see that Sporting are without doubt the dominant ones in the fixture. They have won all 5 of their last 5 meetings and have recorded some absolute pastings of Casa Pia including an 8-0 victory.

Recent Sporting CP and Casa Pia Form Analysis:

Last 5 Sporting CP Games:

  1. Santa Clara 2-3 Sporting CP
  2. Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-4 Sporting CP
  3. Sporting CP 4-0 Rio Ave
  4. Gil Vicente 1-1 Sporting CP
  5. Sporting CP 1-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes

In their last 5 outings Sporting have shown a strange vein of form, they have won 3 of the 5, drawing 1 and losing the other but the manner in whihc they dropped off is what makes them peculiar.

During their winning run they scored a whopping 11 in 3 games, conceding 3 in the same time, now all of a sudden they are struggling. In the last 5 overall they have shown incredible attacking talent but have been let down by the defence. They have scored 13 in 5 meanwhile they have conceded 6.

Last 5 Casa Pia Games:

  1. Casa Pia 1-1 Gil Vicente
  2. Casa Pia 1-2 Torreense
  3. Tondela 1-2 Casa Pia
  4. Casa Pia 0-0 Vitoria de Guimaraes
  5. Rio Ave 3-1 Casa Pia

Casa Pia have shown form that shows precisely how they have ended up in the position they are currently in, with only 1 win in their last 5 it's been pretty grim viewing for the fans however 2 draws may provide some comfort.

Up front the side have hardly been exciting with 5 goals in 5 games, admittedly not a terrible record but it needs to be stepped up if the side have any hope of surviving the top flight. At the back meanwhile has been a more clear area of issue for the side, they have conceded 7 in 5 keeping a singular clean sheet.

Sporting CP vs Casa Pia Predictions:

Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with 56.8% confidence in over 3.5 match goals. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.

Best Sporting CP vs Casa Pia Betting Tips:

Football Park's Best Bet: Over 3.5 Match Goals @ 2.20 - Our team of in-house betting tipsters have predicted over 3.5 Match goals in this fixture. Sporting's superior form, home advantage, and head-to-head record justify confidence in this selection.

Key Players To Watch:

Jeremy Livolant (Casa Pia):

Perhaps surprisingly the main star so far this season for Portuguese side Casa Pia has been French forward Livolant. The main surprise about him is how well he has contributed to goals for the struggling side so far this season.

In the league he is both the top scorer on 3 and top assist provider with 4, making him the top individual provider across the squad. More impressively though is that his contributions alone make up 41% of all by the club so far this season.

Luis Suarez (Sporting CP):

Not only does he have the same name as the legendary Uruguayan forward but his on pitch displays and numbers are slowly starting to match his namesakes as well. Colombian striker Luis Suarez has been on absolute fire for Sporting so far this season and is well on his way to matching what was an anticipated gaping hole left in the side after Gyokeres' departure last summer.

So far this season Suarez is recording a more contributions than appearances, in 17 league games he has scored 15 and assisted 3. This makes him the club's top scorer and overall highest contributor and a very likely candidate for Liga Portugal's player of the year come the end of the season if he keeps this up.

Sporting CP vs Casa Pia Match Facts:

Broadcast Details: N/A (UK), Various Regional Broadcasters (UK)

Stadium Information: The game will take place at the Estadio Jose Alvalade in Lisbon, Portugal, home of Sporting CP. The stadium has a capacity of 52,095.

Benji Kosartiyer
Journalist
Mathew Musgrave

Writer at FootballPark